This article aims at identifying the macroeconomic indicators that account for the Argentine financial crisis. For this purpose, an early warning system (EWS) is built based on a probit model that incorporates six monthly variables spanning the time period between February 1991 and February 2000. The results indicate that the significant indicators are the consumer price index and the ratio of ...

Non-linear, stochastic, thermodynamic, agent based or network modelling are powerful tools brought from other fields into economics. Applied in almost every sub-field of economics, these tools had however substantial success only in the analysis of financial markets. We suggest that the reason for this is less the insufficiency of these technical tools but rather the incapacity of mainstream ec...

This article investigates the association between stock market activity and mental well-being, exploiting the availability of interview dates in the British Household Panel Survey to match changes in the FTSE 100 stock price index to respondents over the period 1991–2008. We present evidence that annual changes in the price index are associated with better mental well-being whilst greater uncer...

Oil price fluctuations affect equity values in North American, European, and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets, as evidenced by prior studies. However, they only focus on market-wide level analysis. This study, through both market level and sector level analyses, examines the sensitivity of Malaysian stock returns to oil price fluctuations over the period from January 2000 to March 2...

In many differentiated product markets prices are determined through a negotiation process between buyers and sellers. Sellers post a price, but consumers may be able to negotiate a discount. The extent to which sellers negotiate may depend on consumer characteristics; ignoring the actual pricing mechanism can lead to an incomplete and biased analysis. Moreover, discounting is an important form...

abstract financial and electronic debts are one of the important issues in iran's financial scope that are considered by economists due to their role in creating financial instabilities. therefore, a model was represented in this survey to evaluate and rank financial and electronic debts in iran including foreign debts, governmental debts, non-governmental debts and banking debts during th...

Considerable anecdotal evidence suggests that the effects of liquidity shocks spread quickly throughout the financial sector. However, few studies have focused on the dynamics of liquidity across real-estate markets. This paper examines the liquidity spill-over impact across four markets linked by a common fundamental factor : the stock market, the derivative (Credit Default Swap (CDS)) market,...

I show that the dividend-price ratio predicts aggregate stock market returns with higher precision during recessions than in expansions, in a way that is both statistically and economically significant. This empirical evidence cannot be reconciled with three popular asset pricing approaches: habit-persistence (Campbell and Cochrane (1999)), long-run risk (Bansal and Yaron (2004)) and rare disas...