the medium density fiberboard (mdf) market demand was investigated during the years from 2004 to 2013 in iran. estimation of mdf demand was made by exponential smoothing method by the year 2018. the insight into the level of demand that might exist by the year 2013 was obtained by reviewing the production, import, export, and consumption of mdf on the iran. the results show that the consumption...

Exponential smoothing has been one of the most popular forecasting methods used to support various decisions in organizations, activities such as inventory management, scheduling, revenue and other areas. Although its relative simplicity transparency have made it very attractive for research practice, identifying underlying trend remains challenging with significant impact on resulting accuracy...

The prediction of nodal electricity price (NEP) is a primary step to be done before the bidding process starts in actual market environment. NEP plays significant role for efficient working electrical system. follows common trend as during peak hours when load high will also similarly off-peak-load times lower and all node. Thus, accurate forecasting can help generation companies more proactive...

Simple exponential smoothing (SES) methods are the most commonly used methods in forecasting and time series analysis. However, they are generally insensitive to non-stationary structural events such as level shifts, ramp shifts, and spikes or impulses. Similar to that of outliers in stationary time series, these non-stationary events will lead to increased level of errors in the forecasting pr...

Sea cucumber catch has followed “boom-and-bust” patterns over the period of 60 years from 1950-2010, and sea cucumber fisheries have had important ecological, economic and societal roles. However, sea cucumber fisheries have not been explored systematically, especially in terms of catch change trends. Sea cucumbers are relatively sedentary species. An attempt was made to explore whether the tim...

Sea cucumber catch has followed “boom-and-bust” patterns over the period of 60 years from 1950-2010, and sea cucumber fisheries have had important ecological, economic and societal roles. However, sea cucumber fisheries have not been explored systematically, especially in terms of catch change trends. Sea cucumbers are relatively sedentary species. An attempt was made to explore whe...

A popular smoothing technique commonly used in time series analysis is double exponential smoothing. Basically, it’s an improvement of simple exponential smoothing which does the exponential filter process twice. Many researchers had developed the technique, hence Brown’s double exponential smoothing and Holt’s double exponential smoothing. Here, we introduce a new approach of double exponentia...