This paper will present a novel concept of expected values of fuzzy variables, which is essentially a type of Choquet integral and coincides with that of random variables. In order to calculate the expected value of general fuzzy variable, a fuzzy simulation technique is also designed. Finally, we construct a spectrum of fuzzy expected value models, and integrate fuzzy simulation, neural networ...

Fama and French [2002. The equity premium. Journal of Finance 57, 637–659] estimate the equity premium using dividend growth rates to measure expected rates of capital gain. We apply their method to study the value premium. From 1945 to 2005, the expected value premium is on average 6.1% per annum, consisting of an expected dividend growth component of 4.4% and an expected dividend price ratio ...

Today, one of the most fundamental issues within the field of industrial and nonindustrial activities is evaluate the costs performance of the units which are associated with industrial and nonindustrial activities. Data envelopment analysis (DEA) is a nonparametric method for evaluating performance. Fuzzy sets theory is a powerful tool for mentioning ambiguous situations. Traditional DEA model...

Many philosophers assume that, when making moral decisions under uncertainty, we should choose the option that has greatest expected value, regardless of how risky it is. But their arguments for maximizing value do not support over rival, risk-averse approaches. In this paper, I present a novel argument value: think about larger series each decision is part of, all but most agents would prefer ...