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This report is a preprint of a manuscript that has been submitted for possible journal publication. It should not be quoted or referenced without contacting the author to ensure it remains current. The author may be contacted at penelson@ne. The possibility of adapting risk analysis to events deemed to have infinite consequences is illustrated in the context of a simple dynamic two-event model....

George Bunn, the first general counsel of the U.S. Arms Control and Disarmament Agency, served on the U.S. delegation that negotiated the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons and later became a U.S. ambassador to the Geneva disarmament conference. He is now working on nuclear nonproliferation problems as a consulting professor at the Stanford University Center for International Se...

A paper by Deng and Conitzer in AAAI’17 introduces disarmament games, in which players alternatingly commit not to play certain pure strategies. However, in practice disarmament usually does not consist in removing a strategy, but rather in removing a resource (and doing so rules out all the strategies in which that resource is used simultaneously). In this paper, we introduce a model of disarm...

A paper by Deng and Conitzer in AAAI’17 introduces disarmament games, in which players alternatingly commit not to play certain pure strategies. However, in practice disarmament usually does not consist in removing a strategy, but rather in removing a resource (and doing so rules out all the strategies in which that resource is used simultaneously). In this paper, we introduce a model of disarm...

‘‘Nuclear threshold states’’*those that have chosen nuclear restraint despite having significant nuclear capabilities*seem like the perfect partners for the reinvigorated drive toward global nuclear disarmament. Having chosen nuclear restraint, threshold states may embrace disarmament as a way to guarantee the viability of their choice (which may be impossible in a proliferating world). Support...

The emergence of nuclear weapons as a new actor in international relations has introduced a new area in the international security arena. Since the appearance of these weapons, there have been increasing efforts to limit and destroy them in order to achieve global peace in the framework of disarmament and centered around the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons. Along with the eme...

The Secretary-General expressed his intention last year to institute a Steering Group as a successor to the high-level Task Force that was established as a follow-up to the International Conference on Disarmament and Development, held at United Nations Headquarters in September 1987. In line with his intention, the Steering Group held its inaugural meeting in May and agreed on a programme to hi...