This report documents global corporate credit rating transition and default rates during the 1995-2003 period conditional on the full information in Moody's published credit opinions, which, in addition to the current credit rating, include prior rating actions and current rating outlooks and reviews. The primary findings of this study are: • Moody's rating system management practices attempt t...

For close to 70 years, the Natural Resources Conservation Service (NRCS) has provided seasonal water supply outlooks for use by Western US water managers. These outlooks are a critical component in effective water management and are utilized by a broad spectrum of users for a variety of purposes, ranging from irrigated agriculture, flood control, municipal water supply, endangered species prote...

От переводчика С разрешения авторов мы перевели первую главу их книги, и один из них (В. В.) смог найти время и просмотреть первые семь страниц перевода. Текст главы оказался весьма непривычным, а потому трудным для перевода, и мы совсем не уверены, что в нём не осталось ошибок. Надеемся, что В. В. сможет со временем просмотреть и исправить оставшуюся часть перевода, после чего можно будет данн...

Timely and accurate yield forecasts prior to and during the milling season present opportunities to improve various industry activities, such as milling operations, international trade and agronomic optimisation. The Canesim model-based yield forecasting system was used to quantify prediction skills at different times of the year, using historic climate data and a history of seasonal climate ou...

We propose a novel problem formulation of learning a single task when the data are provided in different feature spaces. Each such space is called an outlook, and is assumed to contain both labeled and unlabeled data. The objective is to take advantage of the data from all the outlooks to better classify each of the outlooks. We devise an algorithm that computes optimal affine mappings from dif...

The Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory’s (GLERL’s) Advanced Hydrologic Prediction System (AHPS) illustrates the technology for those interested in using climate predictions in water resources decisions. It provides 1—6-month probability outlooks for 25 hydrology variables over the 121 watersheds and 7 lake surfaces of the Great Lakes basin, including simultaneous water levels on all ...