The Boltzmann–Gibbs distribution is currently widely used in economic modeling. One of the applications is integrated with the DSGE (Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium) model. However, a question that arises concerns whether the Boltzmann–Gibbs distribution can be directly applied, without considering the underlying social network structure more seriously, even though the social network str...

The primary objective of this paper is to revisit DSGE models with a view to appraise their statistical adequacy and propose ways to ameliorate their empirical pertinence. This paper brings out several weaknesses of the traditional DSGE modeling, including statistical misspecification, non-identification of deep parameters, substantive inadequacy, weak forecasting performance and potentially mi...

E C O N O M I C R E V I E W Second Quarter 2006 Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models are becoming increasingly popular in central banking circles. The number of central bank–sponsored conferences on DSGE modeling and the amount of staff resources devoted to DSGE model development and estimation have risen dramatically over the past five years. This trend has affected monetary po...

While DSGE models have been widely used by central banks for policy analysis, they seem to have been ineffective in calibrating the models for anticipating financial crises. To bring DSGE models closer to real situations, some of researchers have revised the traditional DSGE models. One of the modified DSGE models is the adaptive belief system model. In this framework, changes in sentiment can ...

So far the literature on DSGE models with energy price shocks uses energy on the production side only. In these models, energy shocks are responsible for only a negligible share of output fluctuations. We study the robustness of this finding. The aim of our paper is to model the response of household behavior to energy shocks in more detail as in the existing literature. Specifically, in additi...

This commentary is motivated by the papers “Unconventional Monetary Policy and the Great Recession: Estimating the Macroeconomic Effects of a Spread Compression at the Zero Lower Bound” by Christiane Baumeister and Luca Benati (this issue) and “House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility: Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy” by Paolo Gelain, Kevin J. Lansing, and Caterin...

This chapter reviews the literature on the econometric relationship between DSGE and VAR models from the point of view of estimation and model validation. The mapping between DSGE and VAR models is broken down into three stages: 1) from DSGE to statespace model; 2) from state-space model to VAR(1); 3) from VAR(1) to nite order VAR. The focus is on discussing what can go wrong at each step of th...

Epstein-Zin preferences (or “EZ” preferences) have become increasingly popular in recent asset pricing work. Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models which feature Epstein-Zin preferences are typically considered technically challenging, often thought to require sophisticated numerical solution methods to solve them and considerable additional thought to understand them. The purpose...

This thesis makes three main contributions to the literature on Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) models in Macroeconomics. As no previous studies have studied the Chinese economy from the perspective of DSGE, the first contribution of this thesis is estimating a DSGE model for China through a Bayesian approach using the Chinese quarterly post-economic reform data representing the m...