By a theorem due to Sklar, a multivariate distribution can be represented in terms of its underlying margins by binding them together using a copula function. By exploiting this representation, the “copula approach” to statistical modelling proceeds by specifying distributions for each margin and a copula function. In this paper, a number of families of copula functions are given, with attentio...

This paper examines the hedging effectiveness of gold futures for the stock market in minimizing variance and downside risks, including value at risk and expected shortfall using data from the Iran emerging capital market during four different sub-periods from December 2008 to August 2018. We employ dynamic conditional correlation models including VARMA-BGARCH (DCC, ADCC, BEKK, and ABEKK) and c...

Vine copula provides a flexible tool to capture asymmetry in modelling multivariate distributions. Nevertheless, its flexibility is achieved at the expense of exponentially increasing complexity of the model. To alleviate this issue, the simplifying assumption (SA) is commonly adapted in specific applications of vine copula models. In this paper, generalized linear models (GLMs) are proposed fo...

We tackle the challenge of efficiently learning the structure of expressive multivariate realvalued densities of copula graphical models. We start by theoretically substantiating the conjecture that for many copula families the magnitude of Spearman’s rank correlation coefficient is monotonic in the expected contribution of an edge in network, namely the negative copula entropy. We then build o...

H igh price volatility and the risk are the main features of commodity markets. One way to reduce this risk is to apply the hedging policy by future contracts. In this regard, in this paper, we will calculate the optimal hedging ratios for OPEC oil. In this study, besides the multivariate GARCH models, for the first time we use conditional copula models for modelling dependence struc...

We propose a new framework for dependence structure learning via copula. Copula is a statistical theory on dependence and measurement of association. Graphical models are considered as a type of special case of copula families, named product copula. In this paper, a nonparametric algorithm for copula estimation is presented. Then a Chow-Liu like method based on dependence measure via copula is ...

The authors extend to multivariate contexts the copula-based univariate time series modeling approach of Chen & Fan [X. Chen, Y. Fan, Estimation of copula-based semiparametric time series models, J. Econometrics 130 (2006) 307–335; X. Chen, Y. Fan, Estimation and model selection of semiparametric copula-based multivariate dynamic models under copula misspecification, J. Econometrics 135 (2006) ...

Recently, several copula-based approaches have been proposed for modeling stationary multivariate time series. All of them are based on vine copulas, and they differ in the choice of the regular vine structure. In this article, we consider a copula autoregressive (COPAR) approach to model the dependence of unobserved multivariate factors resulting from two dynamic factor models. However, the pr...