This paper gives a decentralized approach to the problem of failure prognosis in the framework of fuzzy discrete event systems (FDES). A notion of co-predictability is formalized for decentralized prognosis of FDESs, where several local agents with fuzzy observability rather than crisp observability are used in the prognosis task. An FDES is said to be co-predictable if each faulty event can be...

In the predictability minimization approach, input patterns are fed into a system consisting of adaptive, initially unstructured feature detectors. There are also adaptive predictors constantly trying to predict current feature detector outputs from other feature detector outputs. Simultaneously, however, the feature detectors try to become as unpredictable as possible, resulting in a co-evolut...

This paper re-examines the relation between the predictability of health care spending and incentives due to adverse selection. Within an explicit model of health plan decisions about service levels, we show that predictability (how well spending on certain services can be anticipated), predictiveness (how well the predicted levels of certain services contemporaneously co-vary with total health...

The ability to make prediction based on online searches in various contexts is gaining substantial interest in both research and practice. This study investigates a novel application of correlated online searches in predicting stock performance across supply chain partners. If two firms are economically dependent through supply chain relationship and if information related to both firms diffuse...

We examined evidence for nonlinear dynamics in fishery-independent survey data for an assemblage of 26 fish species on Georges Bank spanning the period 1963 to 2008. We used nonlinear time series analysis to determine (1) the presence of nonlinear dynamics in fish populations on Georges Bank, (2) the minimum number of dimensions required to effectively describe system dynamics, (3) the strength...

AIM To assess the safety and predictability of photorefractive keratotomy (PRK) and laser in situ keratomileusis (LASIK) based on preoperative corneal topography. METHODS A non-randomised comparative study was carried out on 84 eyes that presented with topographic abnormalities before undergoing PRK (n = 44) or LASIK (n = 40) procedures. 84 spherical equivalent paired normal eyes served as th...

The new class of wrought γ-γ/ Co-base superalloys, which are based on Co-Al-W system,  was developed by conventional hot working routes with a high volume fraction of γ/ precipitates and good mechanical properties. The aim of the present study was to predict the flow stress and hot deformation modeling of a novel γ-γ/ Co-base superalloy. The hot compression test...