This paper estimates the welfare effects of Brexit, focusing on trade and fiscal transfers. We use a standard quantitative general equilibrium trade model with many countries and sectors and trade in intermediates, as in Costinot and Rodríguez-Clare (2014). We simulate a range of counterfactuals reflecting alternative options for EU-UK relations following Brexit. Welfare losses for the average ...

The aim of this paper is to examine the nominality of the neologism BREXIT using a corpus-informed lexicogrammatical approach. The term BREXIT, coined in 2012, used initially in print and social media in the UK is now internationally wide-spread. BREXIT is a blend of British + exit, which expresses the meaning of’Britain exiting from the EU’. Although ‘Brexit’ clearly expresses an event (motion...

We applied the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette (JLS) model to detect possible bubbles and crashes related to the Brexit/Bremain referendum scheduled for 23 June 2016. Our implementation includes an enhanced model calibration using Genetic Algorithms. We selected a few historical financial series sensitive to the Brexit/Bremain scenario, representative of multiple asset classes. We found that equity an...

Social media are an important source of information about the political issues, reflecting, as well as influencing, public mood. We present an analysis of Twitter data, collected over 6 weeks before the Brexit referendum, held in the UK in June 2016. We address two questions: what is the relation between the Twitter mood and the referendum outcome, and who were the most influential Twitter user...

http://jpis.org On June 23, the citizens of the United Kingdom (UK) voted to leave the European Union (EU) through the referendum known popularly as Brexit. Mick Armstrong, the chair of the Principal Executive Committee of the British Dental Association (BDA), announced, “We did not take a position in this referendum.” However, it has become clear that Brexit does have specific implications for...

The Leave campaign in the U.K., which advocated exiting the European Union, emphasized anxiety over immigration and the need to take control of the U.K.'s borders. Citizens who expressed concerns about immigration to the U.K. were more likely to vote to leave. Two correlational studies examined the previously unexplored question of whether the Brexit vote and support for the outcome of the E.U....

BACKGROUND Information and Communication Technology (ICT) has been a key agent of change in the 21st century. Given the role of ICT in changing society this research sought to explore the responses and attitudes to change from ICT professionals and ICT academics in dealing with the potentially far reaching political challenge triggered by the UK's 2016 European Union Referendum and its decision...

BreXearch is a cross-lingual and cross-media semantic search system that focuses on the Brexit use case. This system has extracted the knowledge from various media sources (including online news sites, social media and live-TV) in three languages (i.e., English, German and Spanish) and integrated it with the additional background knowledge from DBpedia. Based on that, BreXearch allows us to sea...

In a historic referendum on June 23, 2016, the UK voted to leave the European Union (EU) after more than four decades of membership. For the time being, the UK is still a member of the EU until the UK government triggers Article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty–which probably won't happen before the end of 2016. A minimum of 2 years of negotiations will follow before theUK ceases to be an EUmember. This...

The SSIX (Social Sentiment analysis financial IndeXes) project is a European Innovation Project sponsored by the European Commission under the Horizon 2020 framework. SSIX aims to provide European SMEs with a collection of easy to interpret tools to analyse and understand social media sentiment for any given topic regardless of locale or language. The United Kingdom’s recent referendum on Europ...