Article history: Accepted 17 January 2014 Available online 15 February 2014 JEL classification: C62 E21 E22

Article history: Received 25 November 2013 Received in revised form 17 June 2015 Available online 13 July 2015 JEL classification: O33 O31 E22

In this paper, employing VAR and factor analytic models with quarterly U.K. sectoral business investment data, we show that both common and sector–specific shocks play important roles in explaining business investment fluctuations. JEL: C32, E22, E32.

This paper estimates the effects of exogenous changes in income and consumption taxes. The tax shocks are proxied with a narrative account liability United Kingdom. Income cuts have large on GDP, private consumption, investment. modest not statistically significant GDP its components. Shifting burden taxation from to is expansionary. Consistent conventional public finance theories, these result...

This paper provides a simple dynamic optimization model of durable goods inventories. Closed-form solutions are derived in a general equilibrium environment with imperfect information and serially correlated shocks. The model is then applied to scrutinize some popular conjectures regarding the causes of the volatility reduction of GDP since 1984. JEL Classification: E22, E23, E32.

We construct a time-series model of investment in Israel that incorporates both traditional economic factors derived from a theoretical model of a profit-maximising representative firm and indicators of political instability and unrest. This is used to estimate the extent to which the Intifada has depressed Israeli investment and the size of the corresponding "peace dividend". JEL Classificatio...

General purpose technologies (GPTs) like AI enable and require significant complementary investments. These investments are often intangible poorly measured in national accounts. We develop a model that shows how this can lead to underestimation of productivity growth new GPTs early years and, later, when the benefits harvested, overestimation. call phenomenon Productivity J-curve. apply our me...

We analyze the ups and downs in economic growth recent decades by constructing a model with recurrent bubbles, crashes, endogenous growth. Once realized, bubbles crowd investment stimulate growth, but expectation about future crowds out reduces identify bubbly episodes estimating using US data. Counterfactual simulations suggest that IT housing not only caused booms also lifted GDP almost 2 per...

Designed to compete with fiat currencies, bitcoin proposes it is a crypto-currency alternative. Bitcoin makes a number of false claims, including: bitcoin can be a reserve currency for banking; hoarding equals saving; and that we should believe bitcoin can expand by deflation to become a global transactional currency supply. Bitcoin’s developers combine technical implementation proficiency with...