نتایج جستجو برای: δt under a2 emission scenario at 90 probability percentile
تعداد نتایج: 4781240 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
this study will evaluates climate change impacts on groundwater resources in hamadan-bahar alluvial aquifer in the west of iran. different climate models are weighted in the basis of their ability in predicting monthly observed climate data in the base study period (1970-2000). with respect to climate models weights and their predictions, precipitation and temperature changes in 10, 50 and 90 p...
drought is transient phenomenon , slow , repetitive and integral part of the climate of each region. drought begins with a substantial reduction in precipitation over the long-term average rainfall and over time, reduced soil moisture and surface and ground water resources will continue to decrease. this phenomenon is the most important in bakhtegan basin because of its importance in strategic ...
The aim of this paper is to project extreme precipitation events in an arid and a semiarid station. In order to project climate change based on general circulation models (GCMs), we have applied LARS-WG[1] downscaling tool. This stochastic weather generator down-scaled the climate of two synoptic stations using HADCM3 model and A2 emission scenario for 2040. We extracted extreme precipitation e...
the aim of this paper is to project extreme precipitation events in an arid and a semiarid station. in order to project climate change based on general circulation models (gcms), we have applied lars-wg[1] downscaling tool. this stochastic weather generator down-scaled the climate of two synoptic stations using hadcm3 model and a2 emission scenario for 2040. we extracted extreme precipitation e...
Climate change due to increasing the concentration of greenhouse gases (especially CO2) in the atmosphere causes changes in the rainfall regime, runoff rate, wind speed and solar radiation of atmosphere. In the present research, the maximum and minimum temperature parameters were simulated during the base period of 1979-2088 and two future periods of 1979-2070 and 2070-2090 using daily ...
The purpose of this study is predicting climate changes and investigating the effect of probable climate change on the growing degree-days in the northwest of Iran. For this purpose the climatic data of seven synoptic stations during a 25 years period (1985-2009) was collected including Oroomieh, Tabriz, Zanjan, Sanandaj, Ghazvin, Kermanshah, and Hamedan were used as the base period and thus te...
Abstract This study examines the effects of climate change on runoff in the Yellow River basin in Khuzestan province. In this study, the combination of 14 general circulation models under two emission scenarios A2 and B1 were used for simulating the climatic variables in the next period (2025-2054) compared to the baseline period (1971-2000). The weighting method of mean observed temperature...
Climate change has different impacts on extreme events such as flood and drought. However, in Iran there are few researches about the impacts. This research was aimed to investigate maximum annual discharge (magnitude and frequency) that may occur due to climate change in Aidoghmoush Basin during 2040-2069 (2050s). At first, monthly temperature and precipitation data of HadCM3 model under the S...
in recent years, human activities has resulted increases in atmospheric carbon dioxide (co2) concentration. increase in [co2] has caused global warming and climate change. the aim of this study was to assess potential climate change impact on production for one of the most important varieties of wheat (chamran) in ahvaz region. for this purpose, thirteen aogcm models and two greenhouse gases em...
Abstract We provide the magnitude of a worst case scenario for extreme sea levels (ESLs) along global coastline by 2100. This ESLs is calculated as combination surface height associated with storm surge and wave (100 year return period, 95th percentile), high tide (the percentile) low probability level rise percentile). Under these conditions, end-of-21st century have 5% chance exceeding 4.2 m ...
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