Anonparametric stochasticmodel is developed and tested for the simulation of tropical cyclone tracks. Tropical cyclone tracks demonstrate continuity and memory over many time and space steps. Clusters of tracks can be coherent, and the separation between clusters may be marked by geographical locations where groups of tracks diverge as a result of the physics of the underlying process. Conseque...

The tropical cyclone-ocean interaction was investigated using a high-resolution tropical cyclone ocean coupled model. The model design consisted of the NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory tropical cyclone prediction model which was coupled with a multilayer primitive equation ocean model. Coupling between the hurricane and the ocean models was carried out by passing into the ocean model ...

OBJECTIVE Guangdong province is one of the most vulnerable provinces to tropical cyclones in China. Most prior studies concentrated on the relationship between tropical cyclones and injuries and mortality. This study aimed to explore the impacts of different grades of tropical cyclones on infectious diarrhea incidence in Guangdong province, from 2005 to 2011. METHODS Mann-Whitney U test was f...

Hurricane forecasts are intended to convey information that is useful in helping individuals and organizations make decisions. For example, decisions include whether a mandatory evacuation should be issued, where emergency evacuation shelters should be located, and what are the appropriate quantities of emergency supplies that should be stockpiled at various locations. This paper incorporates o...

The kinetic energy budgets of several examples of synoptic scale systems are reviewed. Included are systems containing a major cyclone development, the immediate cyclone vicinity, and the anticyclone preceding the cyclone development. These are then considered in terms of their role in the general circulation of the middle latitudes. Results show that the cyclone system and cyclone vicinity are...

The formulation and testing of an enhanced Statistical Hurricane Intensity Prediction Scheme (SHIPS) using new predictors derived from passive microwave imagery is presented. Passive microwave imagery is acquired for tropical cyclones in the Atlantic and eastern North Pacific basins between 1995 and 2003. Predictors relating to the inner-core (within 100 km of center) precipitation and convecti...

[1] Recent work has shown a statistical climatological link between African dust outbreaks and North Atlantic tropical cyclone frequency and intensity. However, a definite causal link between year-to-year changes in African dust and Atlantic tropical cyclones has yet to be proven. Here we show that variability in Atlantic dust cover is linked to changes in tropical cyclone activity through the ...

The topic of tropical cyclone-ocean interaction has received increased attention in the tropical meteorology community over the past several years. It is widely recognized that the major energy source for tropical cyclones is the evaporation from the ocean. The sea surface temperature (SST) is a crucial parameter in this process. A negative feedback mechanism in the tropical cyclone-ocean syste...

347 MARCH 2008 AMERICAN METEOROLOGICAL SOCIETY | T ropical cyclones account for the majority of natural catastrophic losses in the developed world and, next to floods, are the leading cause of death and injury among natural disasters affecting developing countries (UNDP/BCPR 2004). It is thus of some interest to understand how their behavior is affected by climate change, whether natural or ant...

A tropical cyclone (TC) is one of the most destructive natural disasters that can cause heavy loss life and property. Determining a TC’s center crucial to TC forecasting. It difficult locate during its formation stage dissipation period. To address this problem, novel objective algorithm called cloud motion wind (CMW) was proposed for detecting using infrared (IR) image sequences from geostatio...