The stock index reflects the fluctuation of the stock market. For a long time, there have been a lot of researches on the forecast of stock index. However, the traditional method is limited to achieving an ideal precision in the dynamic market due to the influences of many factors such as the economic situation, policy changes, and emergency events. Therefore, the approach based on adaptive mod...

This study attempts to characterize and predict stock index series in Shenzhen stock market using the concepts of multivariate local polynomial regression. Based on nonlinearity and chaos of the stock index time series, multivariate local polynomial prediction methods and univariate local polynomial prediction method, all of which use the concept of phase space reconstruction according to Taken...

We provide an explanation for the explosive growth in the popularity of Stock Index Futures contracts. In our economy there are three broad classes of traders that place orders with a competitive market maker that sets a bid-ask spread arising from adverse selection. Informed traders trade on the basis of their private information about the value of particular securities. Liquidity traders trad...

This paper examines hedging effectiveness in Greek stock index futures market. We focus on various techniques to estimate variance reduction from constant and time-varying hedge ratios. For both available stock index futures contracts of the Athens Derivatives Exchange (ADEX), we employ a variety of models to derive and estimate the effectiveness of hedging. We measure hedging effectiveness usi...

This paper examines hedging effectiveness in Greek stock index futures market. We focus on various techniques to estimate variance reduction from constant and time-varying hedge ratios. For both available stock index futures contracts of the Athens Derivatives Exchange (ADEX), we employ a variety of models to derive and estimate the effectiveness of hedging. We measure hedging effectiveness usi...

this world; though all the discussions are focused on the causal relationships in allthe scientific arguments. One of the methods to study the designed causal relationshipsobjectively is Granger causality test. This paper aims to investigate the longtermcausal relationship between the stock price and dividends. The statisticalpopulation includes 180 active companies in Stock Exchange of Tehran ...

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using Flexible Neural Tree (FNT) ensemble technique. We considered the Nasdaq-100 index of Nasdaq Stock Market and the S&P CNX NIFTY stock index. We analyzed 7-year Nasdaq-100 main index values and 4y...

The use of intelligent systems for stock market predictions has been widely established. In this paper, we investigate how the seemingly chaotic behavior of stock markets could be well represented using several connectionist paradigms and soft computing techniques. To demonstrate the different techniques, we considered Nasdaq-100 index of Nasdaq Stock Market and the S&P CNX NIFTY stock index. W...