The paper puts forward a deterministic macrodynamic model of the business cycle that allows for sluggish price and quantity adjustments in response to disequilibrium on product and labour markets. Based on regular oscillations of two exogenous variables, 14 reaction coe cients are calibrated such that the cyclical patterns of the endogenous variables are broadly compatible with stylized facts. ...

Using a recursive empirical model of the real interest rate, GDP growth and the primary government deficit in the United States, I solve for the ergodic distribution of the debt/GDP ratio. If such a distribution exists, the government is satisfying its intertemporal budget constraint. One key finding is that historical fiscal policy would bring the current high-debt ratio back to its normal lev...

A challenge to models of equilibrium indeterminacy based on increasing returns is that required increasing returns for generating indeterminacy can be implausibly large and rise quickly with the relative risk aversion in labor. We show that unsynchronized wage adjustment via a relative wage effect can both lower the required degree of increasing returns for indeterminacy to a plausible level an...

The traditional view of growth and fluctuations implies that aggregate demand shocks result in only transitory departures from trend or “normal” output, which is determined exclusively by aggregate supply factors. Using a simple dynamic framework for a less-developed economy, a series of models is developed to show that aggregate demand can have a permanent effect on economic growth. It is show...

This paper explores implications of nominal rigidity characterized by a non-constant hazard function for aggregate dynamics. I derive the NKPC under an arbitrary hazard function and parameterize it with the Weibull duration model. The resulting Phillips curve involves lagged in‡ation and lagged expectations. It nests the Calvo NKPC as a limiting case in the sense that the e¤ects of both terms a...

Ito has applied the non-Walrasian regime switching methodology to the Solovian neoclassical growth model and discussed the occurrence of regimes of full employment, overemployment and underemployment and the different dynamical systems (to be patched up) these regimes give rise to. We shall show in this paper that nothing of this sort really characterizes Solovian growth with non market-clearin...

The economic performances of the Eurozone look weaker than those of the United States over the period 1999-2006, in spite of the fact that the former applies more thoroughly the 'new macroeconomics' governance rules concerning public deficits and inflation control. The literature emphasizes Alan Greenspan's pragmatism when discussing the relative success of the Fed, but the reasons why pragmati...

We study a model of firm price setting with customer markets and empirically evaluate its predictions. Our framework captures the dynamics of customers in response to a change in the price set by firms, describes the behavior of optimal prices in the presence of customer retention concerns, and delivers a general equilibrium model of price and customer dynamics. We exploit micro data on purchas...

An integrated monetary growth model of Keynes–Metzler–Goodwin type with a portfolio approach to its three asset markets (money, bonds, equities) is introduced to study the interaction between the real and the financial part of market economies. Beneath expectations and governmental behavior, profits and their implied dividend payments influence the behavior of asset markets, which determine int...

Price-setting models with monopolistic competition and costs of changing prices exhibit coordination failure: in response to a monetary policy shock, individual agents lack incentives to change prices even when it would be Pareto-improving if all agents did so. The potential welfare gains are in part evaluated relative to a benchmark equilibrium of perfect, costless coordination; in practice, s...