This paper investigates whether using natural logarithms (logs) of price indices for forecasting inflation rates is preferable to employing the original series. Univariate forecasts for annual inflation rates for a number of European countries and the USA based on monthly seasonal consumer price indices are considered. Stochastic seasonality and deterministic seasonality models are used. In man...

The objective of this study is to test the relationship between short-term nominal interest rate and inflation in the context of the Indian financial market. To achieve this objective we perform Augmented Dickey-Fuller unit root test to check for stationarity and thereafter we test for co-integration using the Engle-Granger method and further corroborate the findings of this test with the Johan...

We extend and unify existing international asset pricing models for perfect capital markets by allowing both exchange rates and inflation rates to be stochastic and investors to consume both tradable and nontradable goods. We show that country-specific demand for risky assets arises from two sources: PPP-deviationrate differential risks and nontradable-good-specific inflation-rate-differential ...

The adoption of a credible monetary policy regime such as inflation targeting is known to reduce the persistence of inflation fluctuations. This conclusion, however, is derived from aggregate inflation or sectoral inflation rates, not from regional inflation data. This paper studies the regional dimension of inflation targeting, i.e. the consequences of inflation targeting for regional inflatio...

This paper focuses on developing models to study influential factors on the inflation rate for a panel of available countries in the World Bank data base during 2008-2012‎. ‎For this purpose‎, Random effect log-linear and Ordinal logistic models are used for the analysis of continuous and categorical inflation rate variables‎. ‎As the original inflation rate response to variables shows an appar...

www.philadelphiafed.org to the financial instruments that help guard savings from being eroded by inflation.1 Also, households and firms often write contracts that are stated in dollar amounts (nominal terms). A worker may, for example, sign a contract to work over the upcoming year for a fixed dollar amount. If inflation turns out to be higher than what was expected at the time the contract wa...

Over the 1980s and 1990s, monetary policy in most industrialized countries has focussed increasingly on achieving rates of inflation at or close to price stability. The result in the 1990s has been a remarkable convergence in these economies towards relatively low rates of inflation. In some countries, such as New Zealand, Canada, the United Kingdom, and Sweden the move towards price stability ...