نتایج جستجو برای: forecasting theory
تعداد نتایج: 821910 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
In terms of the present short-term load forecasting(STLF) methods, whether the linear or the nonlinear, neither could meet the STLF requirements better with the rapid developments of electrical power systems and electrical power markets, and so a novel STLF method was proposed based on fractal theory in this paper. Firstly, the paper investigated the fractal characteristics of power system load...
This paper presents a short-term electric load forecasting method based on Autoregressive Tree Algorithm and Rough Set Theory. Firstly, Rough Set Theory was used to reduce the testing properties of Autoregressive Tree. It can optimize the Autoregressive Tree Algorithm. Then, Autoregressive Tree Model of Short-term electric load forecasting is set up. Using Rough Set Theory, the attributes will ...
Two foundational questions about sustainability are "How are ecosystems and the services they provide going to change in the future?" and "How do human decisions affect these trajectories?" Answering these questions requires an ability to forecast ecological processes. Unfortunately, most ecological forecasts focus on centennial-scale climate responses, therefore neither meeting the needs of ne...
Dong Liu, Miao Yu, Nan Sun, Ying Qi (School of Water Conservancy & Civil Engineering,Northeast Agricultural University, Harbin Heilongjiang 150030,China) Abstract:In the course of analyzing and forecasting regional groundwater depth, its variation process complexity was ignored in the past, so that it was difficult to realize scientific management of groundwater resources. Aiming at the aforesa...
Portfolio theory assumes that investors accept risk. This means thatin the equal rate of return on the two assets, the assets were chosenthat have a lower risk level. Modern portfolio theory is accepted byinvestors who believe that they are not cope with the market. Sothey keep many different types of securities in order to access theoptimum efficiency rate that is close to the rate of return o...
Analyses and investigations on river flow behavior are major issues in design, operation and studies related to water engineering. Thus, recently the application of chaos theory and new techniques, such as chaos theory, has been considered in hydrology and water resources due to relevant innovations and ability. This paper compares the performance of chaos theory with Anfis model and discusses ...
In this study, we propose a knowledge-based forecasting system — rough-set-refined text mining (RSTM) approach — for crude oil price tendency forecasting. This system consists of two modules. In the first module, text mining techniques are used to construct a metadata repository and generate rough knowledge by extracting unstructured text documents, including gathering various related text docu...
3 We examine the effect of damping X-12-ARIMA's estimated seasonal variation on the accuracy of its seasonal adjustments of time series. Two methods for damping seasonals are proposed. In a simulation experiment, we generated time series data for each of 90 distinct experimental conditions that, in aggregate, characterize the variety of monthly series in the M3-competition. X-12-ARIMA consisten...
نمودار تعداد نتایج جستجو در هر سال
با کلیک روی نمودار نتایج را به سال انتشار فیلتر کنید