Weitzman (1998) showed that when future interest rates are uncertain, using the expected net present value implies a term structure of discount rates that is decreasing to the smallest possible interest rate. On the contrary, using the expected net future value criteria implies an increasing term structure of discount rates up to the largest possible interest rate. We reconcile the two approach...

This report describes the use of Bayesian networks (BNs) to model statistical loss distributions in financial operational risk scenarios. Its focus is on modeling "long" tail, or unexpected, loss events using mixtures of appropriate loss frequency and severity distributions where these mixtures are conditioned on causal variables that model the capability or effectiveness of the underlying cont...

Computer-based prompting and reminder systems have been shown to be highly effective in increasing rates of preventive services delivery. However, there are many more recommended preventive services than can be practically included in a typical clinic visit. Therefore prioritization of preventive services prompts is necessary. We describe two approaches to prioritizing preventive services promp...

In this paper we discuss the stochastic facility location model in which the distances between the facility and demand points are rectangular and each weight is normlilly distributed independent random variable with unknown mean and known variance. We are interested in rmding the value of information. In general, perfect information is not attainable, but sample information may be obtained. Thu...

If managers, creditors, or other firm counterparties use stock prices when making decisions, short sellers may attempt to manipulate prices, inducing decisions that reduce firm value. However, an informed long-term shareholder has a natural incentive to ensure that prices send the right message so that the value of his existing stake is not harmed. While he can achieve that by buying enough sha...

Weitzman (1998) showed that when future interest rates are uncertain, using the expected net present value implies a term structure of discount rates that is decreasing to the smallest possible interest rate. On the contrary, using the expected net future value criteria implies an increasing term structure of discount rates up to the largest possible interest rate. We reconcile the two approach...

Deterministic engineering design often leads to unexpected or physically unrealizable results. This is due to the fact that deterministic design is not able to capture the effects of even slight natural fluctuations of parameters. Deterministic transonic shape optimization is no exception: deterministic designs can result in dramatically inferior performance when the actual operating conditions...