نتایج جستجو برای: epidemic forecasting

تعداد نتایج: 88968  

Journal: :journal of paramedical sciences 0
asghar ashrafi hafez proteomics research center, shahid beheshti university of medical sciences, tehran mehdi ranjbaran department of epidemiology, school of public health, shahid beheshti university of medical sciences, tehran mohammad reza modabber qazvin city health center, qazvin university of medical sciences, qazvin alireza mosavi-jarrahi department of epidemiology, school of public health, shahid beheshti university of medical sciences, tehran hasan khooban qazvin city health center, qazvin university of medical sciences, qazvin ahmad rezaei qazvin city health center, qazvin university of medical sciences, qazvin

cholera is an acute intestinal infection caused by consuming food or water contaminated with the bacterium vibrio cholerae. two main epidemiological characteristic of disease is tendency for create of sudden outbreaks and the ability to causing a pandemic. the objective of this study is to describe the epidemiology of the disease. this survey is a descriptive cross-sectional study based on repo...

2008
Nikolaj Goranin Antanas Čenys

Existing malware propagation models mainly concentrate on malware epidemic consequences modeling, i.e. forecasting the number of infected computers, and are based only on current malware propagation strategies. In this article we propose a genetic algorithm based model, which aims at evaluating existing as well as modeling other potentially dangerous Internet worms’ propagation strategies. The ...

2011
Gilda Grard Roman Biek Jean-Jacques Muyembe Tamfum Joseph Fair Nathan Wolfe Pierre Formenty Janusz Paweska Eric Leroy

Gilda Grard,1 Roman Biek,2 Jean-Jacques Muyembe Tamfum,3,4 Joseph Fair,4 Nathan Wolfe,4 Pierre Formenty,5 Janusz Paweska,6 and Eric Leroy1,7 1Centre International de Recherches Médicales de Franceville, Gabon; 2College of Medical, Veterinary and Life Sciences and Medical Research Council– University of Glasgow Centre for Virus Research, University of Glasgow, United Kingdom; 3Institut National ...

Journal: :Epidemics 2016
Cécile Viboud Lone Simonsen Gerardo Chowell

BACKGROUND A better characterization of the early growth dynamics of an epidemic is needed to dissect the important drivers of disease transmission, refine existing transmission models, and improve disease forecasts. MATERIALS AND METHODS We introduce a 2-parameter generalized-growth model to characterize the ascending phase of an outbreak and capture epidemic profiles ranging from sub-expone...

2015
H. Kochhar Harpreet Kochhar

The purpose of this report is to present Canada’s experience so far with the emergence of porcine epidemic diarrhea (PED) using a pro-active risk management approach. This approach is reflected in the actions the Canadian Food Inspection Agency took in collaboration with other stakeholders starting from the period the disease was first confirmed in United States to the time after it was confirm...

2014
Guohong Huang Wenqing Yao Wei Yu Lingling Mao Haibo Sun Wei Yao Jiang Tian Ling Wang Zhijian Bo Zhen Zhu Yan Zhang Zhuo Zhao Wenbo Xu Vishnu Chaturvedi

HAdV-56 is a new recombinant type isolated from epidemic keratoconjunctivitis (EKC) patients and has been sporadically isolated in Japan several times. Here, an outbreak of EKC in the city of Dalian, China involving a large number of workers in two factories was reported; this was the first outbreak of EKC associated with HAdV-56 worldwide.

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