During the past decades, seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) had become one of a prevalent linear models in time series and forecasting. Empirical research advocated that forecasting with non-linear can be an encouraging alternative to traditional models. Linear are often compared mixed conclusions terms superiority performance. Therefore, aim this study is build early wa...

An EGARCH model in which the conditional distribution is heavytailed and skewed is proposed. The properties of the model, including unconditional moments, autocorrelations and the asymptotic distribution of the maximum likelihood estimator, are obtained. Evidence for skewness in conditional t-distribution is found for a range of returns series and the model is shown to give a better fit than th...

As a versatile investment tool in energy markets for speculators and hedgers, the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index (GSCI) futures are quite well known. Therefore, this paper proposes a hybrid model incorporating ARCH family models and ANN model to forecast GSCI futures price. Empirical results show that the hybrid ARCH(1)-M-ANN model is superior to ARIMA, ARCH(1),GARCH(1,1), EGARCH(1,1) and ARIMA-...

The development process in financial markets give rise to the emergence of various instruments and cryptocurrencies, which are newest tools this process, trying integrate into system. Even though use crypto-currencies for investment speculation has increased, limited information on market leads high level volatility price return. Therefore, study aims analyze dynamics returns Bitcoin, is crypto...

Purpose – The purpose of this study is to analyze the role of infrastructure for and in ascertaining captivations of foreign direct investment (FDI). This work aims to investigate the effects of host country's infrastructure availability along with exchange rate and market size on inflows of FDI towards Pakistan. Design/methodology/approach – This study employs autoregressive distributed lag (A...

This study aims to explore the relationship between market integration, foreign portfolio equity holding and inflation rates on international stock market linkages between Pakistan and India. To measure stock equity interlinkage, we constructed international co-movement index through rolling beta estimation. Market integration variable between these two countries is constructed using the Intern...

The paper investigated the effect of investment promotion (IP) on foreign direct investment flow (FDI) into Ghana. Cointegration among the variables was established using auto regressive distributed lag (ARDL) models in the presence of a mix of I (0) and I (1) variables. The control variables, inflation and trade openness were statistically significant in the short run. Whilst inflation exerted...