OBJECTIVE We examine the potential role for taxation in the tobacco endgame in New Zealand, where the goal is to become 'smokefree' (less than 5% smoking prevalence) by 2025. DESIGN Modelling study using a dynamic population model. SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS New Zealand, Māori and non-Māori men and women. INTERVENTIONS Annual increases in tobacco excise tax of 5%, 10%, 15% and 20% (with 10%...

With anti-retroviral treatment (ART) scale-up set to continue over the next few years it is of key importance that manufacturers and planners in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) hardest hit by the HIV/AIDS pandemic are able to anticipate and respond to future changes to treatment regimens, generics pipeline and demand, in order to secure continued access to all ARV medicines required. W...

BACKGROUND Unmet need for family planning in the Pacific is among the highest in the world. Better understanding of required investments and associated benefits of increased access to family planning in the Pacific may assist prioritisation and funding. METHODS We modelled the costs and associated health, demographic and economic impacts of reducing unmet need for family planning between 2010...

BACKGROUND There are limited data on the trends of incidence or prevalence of end stage renal disease (ESRD) in China. To assist in future planning for the ESRD program, the trends of incidence, prevalence and health care costs were analyzed and forecasted to the year 2025 by modeling of historical data from 2004 through 2014. METHODS Nanjing urban employee basic medical insurance (NJUEBMI) d...