نتایج جستجو برای: الگوی var mgarch
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We investigate conditional correlations between six CEEC-3 financial markets estimated by DCC-MGARCH models. In general, the highest correlations exist between Hungary and Poland in foreign exchange and stock markets. Short-term money markets are rather isolated from each other. We find that the associations of CEEC-3 exchange rates versus the euro are weaker than those versus the US dollar. Th...
This paper examines hedging effectiveness in Greek stock index futures market. We focus on various techniques to estimate variance reduction from constant and time-varying hedge ratios. For both available stock index futures contracts of the Athens Derivatives Exchange (ADEX), we employ a variety of models to derive and estimate the effectiveness of hedging. We measure hedging effectiveness usi...
We study two issues: (i) the relationship between interest rates on US and Colombian sovereign debt and (ii) the short-term response of the Colombian longterm bond yield and other asset prices to shocks to the US long-term Treasury rate. We use daily data between 2004 and 2013. Separating the period into three intervals (before, during and after the financial crisis), we consider the first issu...
Recent DNA sequencing data have shown that J. flaccida var. flaccida, J. f. var. martinezii and J. f. var. poblana are polyphyletic taxa. Additional analysis using Random Amplified Polymorphic DNAs (RAPDs) analyses for J. durangensis, J. flaccida var. flaccida, var. martinezii, and var. poblana, J. jaliscana, J. monticola and J. standleyi revealed exactly the same pattern of relationships as se...
Global crises have created unprecedented challenges for communities and economies across the world, triggering turmoil in global finance economy. This study adopts dynamic conditional correlation multiple generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity (DCC–MGARCH) model to explore contagion effects financial markets crisis. The main findings are as follows: (1) crisis COVID-19 pandemic intensifi...
Ait-Sahalia and Lo (2000) and Panigirtzoglou and Skiadopoulos (2004) have argued that Economic VaR (E-VaR), calculated under the option market implied risk neutral density is a more relevant measure of risk than historically based VaR. As industry practice requires VaR at high confidence level of 99%, we propose Extreme Economic Value at Risk (EE-VaR) as a new risk measure, based on the General...
Bromus setifolius var. pictus (Hook) Skottsb., B. setifolius var. setifolius Presl. and B.setifolius var. brevifolius Ness are three native Patagonian taxa in the section Pnigma Dumort of the genus Bromus L. AFLP and RAPD analysis, in conjunction with genetic distance measurements and statistical techniques, revealed variation within this group and indicated that B. setifolius var. brevifolius ...
A simple method for indoor and outdoor cultivation of Mesocyclops aspericornis, Macrocyclops albidus and Mesocyclops n. sp. copepods is presented. This method utilizes Chilomonas sp., Paramecium caudatum and fresh lettuce as food sources for copepod cultures. Steps for initiating and maintaining copepod cultures are provided.
in this paper we compared multivariate garch models toestimate value-at-risk. we used a portfolio of weekly indexesincluding tedpix, klse, xu100 during ten years. to estimatevalue-at-risk, first we estimated ccc, dcc of engle, dcc of tseand tsui, dynamic equi correlation models by oxmetrics. then,optimum lags were estimated by minimizing the information criteria.to estimate var, the models accu...
The formulation of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction four-dimensional variational dataassimilation (4D-Var) system is described. Results of applying 4D-Var over a one-week assimilation period, with a full set of physical parametrizations, are presented and compared with those of 3D-Var. The linearization has been performed without simplifications and, therefore, the tangent-line...
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