نتایج جستجو برای: volatility modeling

تعداد نتایج: 407718  

2012
Peter Reinhard Hansen Zhuo Huang PETER REINHARD HANSEN ZHUO HUANG Asger Lunde

We introduce the Realized Exponential GARCH model that can utilize multiple realized volatility measures for the modeling of a return series. The model specifies the dynamic properties of both returns and realized measures, and is characterized by a flexible modeling of the dependence between returns and volatility. We apply the model to DJIA stocks and an exchange traded fund that tracks the S...

2009
Adam Clements Ralf Becker A Clements

A well developed literature exists in relation to modeling and forecasting asset return volatility. Much of this relate to the development of time series models of volatility. This paper proposes an alternative method for forecasting volatility that does not involve such a model. Under this approach a forecast is a weighted average of historical volatility. The greatest weight is given to perio...

2017
Matthew M. Chestnut Matthew M. Chesnut Alexey Malakhov

Volatility is an integral and inescapable variable of financial engineering, modeling, and finance theory itself Classical financial economics proxies volatility for risk itself, as it becomes difficult to predict future price realizations of a given asset when that asset exhibits significant price volatility over a given time. However, the nature of volatility as it is explained by classical f...

2006
Jun Yu Zhenlin Yang

This paper proposes a class of nonlinear stochastic volatility models. The proposed class encompasses many parametric stochastic volatility models that have appeared in the literature, including the well known lognormal stochastic volatility model. The new class is based on the Box-Cox transformation and offers an alternative to the one introduced in Andersen (1994). An advantage of our propose...

Journal: :Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications 2011

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