In this paper we perform an analytical and numerical study of Extreme Value distributions in discrete dynamical systems that have a singular measure. Using the block maxima approach described in Faranda et al. [2011] we show that, numerically, the Extreme Value distribution for these maps can be associated to the Generalised Extreme Value family where the parameters scale with the information d...

We prove a result on the value distribution of differential polynomials which improves some earlier results. 2000 Mathematics Subject Classification. 30D35.

The heavy tailed distributions have mostly been used for modeling the financial data. The kappa distribution has higher peak and heavier tail than the normal distribution. In this paper, we consider the estimation of the three unknown parameters of a Kappa distribution for evaluating the value at risk measure. The value at risk (VaR) as a quantile of a distribution is one of the import...

Ait-Sahalia and Lo (2000) and Panigirtzoglou and Skiadopoulos (2004) have argued that Economic VaR (E-VaR), calculated under the option market implied risk neutral density is a more relevant measure of risk than historically based VaR. As industry practice requires VaR at high confidence level of 99%, we propose Extreme Economic Value at Risk (EE-VaR) as a new risk measure, based on the General...

The purpose of this study is estimation of daily Value at Risk (VaR) for total index of Tehran Stock Exchange using parametric, nonparametric and semi-parametric approaches. Conditional and unconditional coverage backtesting are used for evaluating the accuracy of calculated VaR and also to compare the performance of mentioned approaches. In most cases, based on backtesting statistics Results, ...

Generalized Pareto distribution play an important role in reliability, extreme value theory, and other branches of applied probability and statistics. This family of distributions includes exponential distribution, Pareto distribution, and Power distribution. In this paper, we established exact expressions and recurrence relations satisfied by the quotient moments of generalized order statistic...

in methods presented to calculate the voltage collapse point, the transmission system is usually the only part of the power system that is completely modeled. distribution systems are often replaced by aggregate load models because the use of the detailed model of distribution systems in voltage stability analysis not only increases the computation time, but also decreases the probability of co...