The stock market is forward looking; economic indicators and important future events are factored into stock prices. According to the Efficient Market Hypothesis†, markets operate efficiently and stock prices instantly and stock prices instantly reflect all information available. However, inefficiencies in the stock market exist due to the behaviors and expectations of investors. Stock prices m...

Oil price fluctuations affect equity values in North American, European, and Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) stock markets, as evidenced by prior studies. However, they only focus on market-wide level analysis. This study, through both market level and sector level analyses, examines the sensitivity of Malaysian stock returns to oil price fluctuations over the period from January 2000 to March 2...

there are several researches that deal with the behavior of ses and their relationships with different economical factors. these range from papers dealing with this subject through econometrical procedures to statistical methods known as copula. this article considers the impact of oil and gold price on tehran stock exchange market (tse). oil and gold are two factors that are essential for the ...

We investigate the strength and the direction of information transfer in the U.S. stock market between the composite stock price index of stock market and prices of individual stocks using the transfer entropy. Through the directionality of the information transfer, we find that individual stocks are influenced by the index of the market.

Accurate and effective stock price prediction is appealing for investors due to the potential of obtaining a very high return. However, it is still a challenging task in the modern business world because of the complex, evolutionary, and nonlinear nature of stock market. Therefore, we proposed two hybrid models, which are Harmony Search (HS) based Extreme Learning Machine (ELM) that is denoted ...

Stock prices have the characteristics of nonlinearity, randomicity and uncertainty, so It is difficult to accurately depict the change rules of stock prices using traditional linear forecasting methods, which lead to low stock price prediction accuracy. In order to improve the stock price prediction precision , this paper proposed a stock price predicting model using SVM optimized by particle s...

A firm is called to have stock price crash risk if the firm has a tendency to experience a sudden drop in its stock price. In this study, the relation between the firm-level of business strategy and future stock price crash risk Is examined, as well as the effect of stock overvaluation on the relationship between business strategy and crash risk investigated. Using the strategy index and crash ...

Johansen and Sornette proposes that the crash has fundamentally an endogenous origin and exogenous shocks only serve as triggering factors. This endogenous force is shown in price as power law log-periodicity (PLLP) signature prior to a crash. We estimate the highly nonlinear model developed by them using a hybrid approach which combines scatter search, genetic adaptor and tabu search. The mode...

A futures contract is an agreement between a seller and a buyer that calls for the seller to deliver to the buyer a specified quantity and grade of an identified commodity, at a fixed time in the future, and at a price agreed in the contract. Stock index futures contract specify an equity index as the underlying asset. Arbitrage opportunity exists when the actual futures price deviates from the...