نتایج جستجو برای: time to ruin

تعداد نتایج: 10882418  

2000
G. C. TAYLOR E. S. Knight

The paper deals with the renewal equation governing the infinite-time ruin probability. It is emphasized as intended to be no more than a pleasant ramble through a few scattered results. An interesting connection between ruin probability and a recurslon formula for computation of the aggregate claims distribution is noted and discussed. The relation between danger of the claim size distribution...

2013
ILYA TKACHEV

We study the ruin problem over a risk process described by a discrete-time Markov model. In contrast to previous studies that focused on the asymptotic behaviour of ruin probabilities for large values of the initial capital, we provide a new technique to compute the quantity of interest for any initial value, and with any given precision. Rather than focusing on a particular model for risk proc...

2009
Tao Jiang

In this paper, we establish a simple asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability of the renewal model with risky investment in the case that the claimsize is subexponentially distributed and the initial capital is large. The result is consistent with known results for the ultimate and finitetime ruin probability and, particularly, is inconsistent with the corresponding Poisson risk ...

2015
Yiqing Chen Jiajun Liu Fei Liu

Recently, Chen (2011) studied the finite-time ruin probability in a discrete-time risk model in which the insurance and financial risks form a sequence of independent and identically distributed random pairs with common bivariate Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern (FGM) distribution. The parameter θ of the FGMdistribution governs the strength of dependence, with a smaller value of θ corresponding to a l...

2005
Jun Cai Hailiang Yang

In this paper, we study ruin in a perturbed compound Poisson risk process under stochastic interest force and constant interest force. By using the technique of stochastic control, we show that the ruin probability in the perturbed risk model is always twice continuously differentiable provided that claim sizes have continuous density functions. In the perturbed risk model, ruin may be caused b...

2012
KOEN VAN WEERT JAN DHAENE MARC GOOVAERTS

This paper addresses the issue of lifetime ruin, which is defined as running out of money before death. Taking into account the random nature of the remaining lifetime, we discuss how a retiree should invest in order to avoid lifetime ruin. We also discuss the conditional time of lifetime ruin and the notion of bequest or wealth at death. Using analytical approximations based on comonotonicity,...

2004
QIHE TANG Qihe Tang

This paper investigates the ultimate ruin probability of a discrete time risk model with a positive constant interest rate. Under the assumption that the gross loss of the company within one year is subexponentially distributed, a simple asymptotic relation for the ruin probability is derived and compared to existing results.

2005
Steve Drekic Gordon E. Willmot

We describe an approach to the evaluation of the moments of the time of ruin in the classical Poisson risk model. The methodology employed involves the expression of these moments in terms of linear combinations of convolutions involving compound negative binomial distributions. We then adapt the results for use in the practically important case involving phase-type claim size distributions. We...

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