Central banks announce specific inflation targets to help anchor inflation expectations and to raise the level of monetary policy credibility (see Debelle and Stevens (1995)). Generally, however, it is argued that in setting inflation targets, there is a trade-off between credibility and flexibility. Targets also provide a yardstick against which the central bank’s success can be measured, allo...

In this paper we address the issue of the distributional consequences of the quality change bias (QCB) in the CPI. In particular, we assess the conjecture raised by some critics of the Boskin commission report that new products and goods affected by quality effects are disproportionately consumed by the rich. Our analysis begins with the observation that the CPI is a weighted mean of household-...

In contrast to conventional conditional mean approaches, this study uses quantile regression techniques to present some new statistical evidence on the link between inflation uncertainty and the level of inflation with cross sectional data in 161 countries for period from 1961-2002. We find new evidence that suggests positive inflation shocks have stronger impacts on inflation uncertainty acros...

The paper presents a monetary model of endogenous growth and specifies an econometric model consistent with it. The economic model suggests a negative inflation-growth effect, and one that is stronger at lower levels of inflation. Empirical evaluation of the model is based on a large panel of OECD and APEC member countries over the years 1961-1997. The hypothesized negative inflation effect is ...

A prominent policy issue of the 1970s and one that seems certain to dominate the early 1980s is the appropriate response to a prevailing high rate of inflation. The view that there is a long-run trade-off between inflation and unemployment, widely accepted at the end of the sixties, is now held by only a small minority of economists. It is still widely believed, however, that there is a short-r...

We inspect how inflation target announcements are instrumental in building central bank credibility and shaping the public’s inflation expectations. Investigating the role of announcements in two early adopters of inflation targeting by using a time varying credibility measure, we find that both the accuracy and the frequency of inflation announcements have a positive impact on how much attenti...

in this article, the effectiveness of eight different technical indexes including simple moving average, weighted moving average, exponential moving average, relative strength, commodity channel, stochastic, money flow and demand are examined by comparison between indexes returns with buy and hold returns. the results shows the return of buy and hold strategy is more than technical indexes in t...

T he world economy has experienced a bulk of positive and negative shocks in crude oil prices and exchange rates over the years, and that global inflation has undergone some changes. Such shocks have affected the macroeconomic variables in the countries of the world and have challenged the economies of these countries, and have led them to take different measures to protect themselves agai...