daily precipitation data from aphrodite's water resources with a spatial resolution of 0.25ëšfor 57 years has been used to detect the trend of precipitation in azerbaijan republic. first of all monthly, seasonal and yearly maps and regional mean time series calculated. according to the annual map mean annual precipitation of the country is about 410 m.m there are two precipitation maximal ...

In recent years, many studies have been done on forecasting fuzzy time series. First-order fuzzy time series forecasting methods with first-order lagged variables and high-order fuzzy time series forecasting methods with consecutive lagged variables constitute the considerable part of these studies. However, these methods are not effective in forecasting fuzzy time series which contain seasonal...

We have analyzed the global tropospheric temperature for 1978 to 2002 with the use of passive microwave sounding data from the NOAA series of polar orbiters and the Earth Observing System Aqua satellite. To accurately retrieve the climatic trend, we combined the satellite data with an analytic model of temperature that contains three different time scales: a linear trend and functions that defi...

For up to 18 yr we monitored salinity and the concentrations of nutrients, organic matter, plant pigments, and suspended particles in the Rhode River (a subestuary of Chesapeake Bay, USA) to examine long-term trends and relabonships to watershed discharges. There was no clear evldence of increasing eutrophlcation. Chlorophyll concentration did not show a long-term trend, although pheopigments i...

One consequence of climate change is the alteration of global water fluxes, both in amount and seasonality. As a result, the seasonal difference between dry- (p < 100 mm/month) and wet-season (p > 100 mm/month) precipitation (p) has increased over land during recent decades (1980-2005). However, our analysis expanding to a 60-year period (1950-2009) showed the opposite trend. This is, dry-seaso...

Enzootic pneumonia (EP) is responsible for considerable economic losses in pig production. This study analyses temporal variations of pneumonic lesions present in slaughtered finishing pigs utilising a novel analytical tool - STL decomposition. Using data collected over a 6-year period starting in July 2005, time-series analyses were conducted to identify trend and the presence of seasonal vari...

OBJECTIVES We examined seasonal variations in mortality from acute myocardial infarction (AMI) and stroke by age using 300,000 deaths in the Canadian Mortality Database for the years 1980 to 1982 and 1990 to 1992. BACKGROUND The effect of age on environmental determinants of AMI and stroke is not well understood. METHODS Seasonal variations were analyzed by month and for the four seasons (w...

Atlantic tropical cyclone activity has trended upward in recent decades. The increase coincides with favorable changes in local sea surface temperature and other environmental indices, principally associated with vertical shear and the thermodynamic profile. The relative importance of these environmental factors has not been firmly established. A recent study using a high-resolution dynamical d...