Based on the concepts and characteristics of dynamic strategy and scenario analysis, the thesis has discussed that how the scenario analysis applies in dynamic strategy for an enterprise within its function, the operation processes,its applying scopes and the keys of the scenario analysis in company's strategy planning application. And it analyzes the conditions of Chinese enterprise in the fac...

activity (b) Product (c) Acute scenario analysis Constraint (e) C1 Acute user's manual

The identification of disruptive technologies and the evaluation of their impact on the own business is a major challenge for technology intelligence. Technology scanning is the technology intelligence sub-discipline for finding weak signals (early warning signals) to technology trends, and as we conjecture also for finding signals on technology-driven impeding changes in evaluation contexts in...

In many organisations (e.g. IDEO, Nissan, Chaparral Steel) the ability to be innovative and first to the market is their key to success and even survival. Finding and retaining creative minds is difficult, as innovators often become entrepreneurs of their own companies. Current recruitment techniques include the use of psychometric instruments (such as the KAI inventory and Myer-Briggs), role-p...

ion

This paper focuses on operational risk measurement techniques and on economic capital estimation methods. A data sample of operational losses provided by an anonymous Central European bank is analyzed using several approaches. Multiple statistical concepts such as the Loss Distribution Approach and the Extreme Value Theory, including scenario analysis method, are considered. Custom plausible lo...

This paper summarises some of the main modelling and interface developments made recently in the AIMSUN microscopic traffic simulator to provide a better response to the requirements for the assessment of ITS systems, advanced transport analysis and ATMS. The description addresses two main areas: improvements on the dynamic assignment capabilities, and the embedding of the simulator in the AIMS...

The purpose of this study is to understand the reaction of real estate prices to changes in different factors. In order to achieve this, a previously developed system dynamics model of real estate prices in Istanbul has been used (Özbaş and Özgün, 2005). The model has been developed and scenario analysis is carried out to some extent. However, a structured experimental analysis of the model und...

A multiperiod model based upon a multicriteria objective function has been developed for a representative area of the Guadalquivir Valley, dividing the irrigated area into homogeneous types of farming as identified by cluster analysis. The model was applied to different future scenarios with a time horizon of 10 years and several different farming environments. A set of eight sustainability ind...

Several concepts have been used to describe potential serous accidents in industrial activities. Examples of these concepts are worst case scenarios, likelier-but-less-catastrophic scenarios, most credible scenarios etc. A worst case scenario is a sequence of events/actions/accidents for a certain place (site) and time which causes the worst magnitude of an accident. Often these kind of acciden...