This paper examines the causal relationship between stock prices and macroeconomic aggregates in Iran, by applying the techniques of the long–run Granger non–causality test proposed by Toda and Yamamoto (1995). We test the causal relationships between the TEPIX Index and the three macroeconomic variables: money supply, value of trade balance, and industrial production using quarterly data for t...

This paper uses support vector machines (SVM) based learning algorithm to select important variables that help explain the realtime peak electricity price in the Ontario market. The Ontario market was opened to competition only in May 2002. Due to the limited number of observations available, finding a set of variables that can explain the independent power market of Ontario (IMO) real-time pea...

Economic growth and development of market, stock exchange and related variables are among components which influence on business, economic activities and management of society. Financial repression is among economic variables greatly influencing on financial market specifically capital market and economic growth and development; so that, this concept caused to publish financial growth and devel...

in some of the new economic growth models, we pay attention to the effects of financial development on economic growth. this research investigates the relationship between capital market and economic growth in macro level during 1991-2011. the research is organized as follows: the introduction comes as the first section. in section ii, we review the literature on the relationship between econom...

In the previous section we studied equilibrium in a particularly simple world – an endowment economy. This was useful for getting intuition about what determined the real interest rate, but lacked realism. In this section we endogenize supply. The concept of equilibrium is identical to before, but the set up is more interesting. Now we have firms that produce output using capital and labor, and...

Using the intraday data on the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE), we address the issue of the informativeness of the limit order book in the periodic call market. We find that the pre-call information variables, i.e., the market order and the radius of the limit order book, have significant impacts on the trade variables, i.e., the trading volume, the post-call bid-ask spread, and the trader surplus...

according to the importance of careful review of crude oil market fluctuations on the iranian economy, in this paper a multivariate model of markov switching vector error correction model (have been used). variables such as real gross domestic product in industrial sector, real effective exchange rate, real governmental expenditure, real import, inflation rate and real crude oil price is used t...