This paper examines the ability of government bond fund managers to time the market, based on their holdings of Treasury securities during the period 1997-2006. We find that, on average, government bond fund managers exhibit significant and positive timing ability at the one-month horizon, under a holdings-based timing measure. In particular, fund managers specializing in Treasury securities ar...

This paper seeks to examine the effect of mutual fund governance on stock selection and market timing abilities. This paper applies a Structural Equation Modelling technique to solve the potential endogeneity problem between internal governance measures and stock selection and market timing. The main conclusion of this paper is to provide evidence through robust statistical analysis around the ...

In Merton (1981; hereafter referred to as Part I), one of us developed a basic model of markettiming forecasts where the forecaster predicts when stocks will outperform bonds and when bonds will outperform stocks but does not predict the magnitude of the superior performance. In that analysis, it was shown that the pattern of returns from successful market timing has an isomorphic correspondenc...

Designing high-performance very large-scale integration (VLSI) chips has become more challenging than ever due to nanometer effects and accelerating time-to-market cycles. Due to the interconnect delay dominance, a small routing change in the design can increase coupling capacitances on its neighboring paths and significantly increase their path delays. This can cause new timing violations and ...

We analyse times between consecutive transactions for a diverse group of stocks registered on the NYSE and NASDAQ markets, and we relate the dynamical properties of the intertrade times with those of the corresponding price fluctuations. We report that market structure strongly impacts the scale-invariant temporal organisation in the transaction timing of stocks, which we have observed to have ...

We investigate the timing of open market share repurchases and the resultant impact on firm liquidity. Using Hong Kong’s unique disclosure environment, we identify the exact implementation dates for over 5,000 equity buybacks. We find that managers exhibit substantial timing ability. Consistent with the information-asymmetry hypothesis, bid-ask spreads widen and depths narrow during repurchase ...