The Sounding Analog Retrieval System (SARS) is a forecasting algorithm that uses sounding derived parameters to find historical severe weather events using a database of proximity soundings associated with a particular type of severe weather. From these matches, SARS arrives at probabilistic forecasts of the severe phenomenon. SARS finds analog matches based on a short list of thermodynamic and...

The identification of extreme wind events and their driving forces are crucial to better integrating generation into the power system. Recent work related occurrence with some weather circulation patterns, enabling (i) ramps (ii) low-generation as well intrinsic features, such intensity time duration. Using Portugal a case study, this focuses on application classification-type methodology link ...

We study reputation games where a long-lived player with a possible commitment type faces a sequence of short-lived players who must pay to observe the long-lived player’s past behavior. In this costly information model we show that equilibrium behavior is cyclical. The long-lived player builds her reputation up only to exploit it; then builds it up again, and so on. We call this behavior reput...