نتایج جستجو برای: keywords delphi method

تعداد نتایج: 3311152  

2007
She-I Chang Chih-Fong Tsai Chia-Ling Hwang

The result of audit designation is significantly influenced by the audit evidence collected when planning the audit and the degree of detection risk is further depends on the amount of audit evidence. Therefore, when the assessment factors of detection risk are more objective and correct, audit costs and the risk of audit failure can be reduced. Thus, the aim of this paper is to design an audit...

1996
Carol E. Pollard Stephen C. Hayne

A national survey of 158 Canadian IS personnel at various organizational levels was conducted using a modiJed Delphi technique and follow-up interviews to ident@ the critical issues in information systems during the next three to five years. Critical information systems issues were identified including I) building a responsive IT injrastructure, 2) improving IS project management practices, and...

2015
Fergus Bolger George Wright

Article history: Received 20 June 2011 Received in revised form 5 July 2011 Accepted 5 July 2011 Available online 9 September 2011 The Delphi techniquewas largely developed to avoid the problems of freely interacting groups such as dominant individuals and pressure to conform to the majority view. Our review of the social psychological literature reveals some obstacles to Delphi achieving its f...

2013
Rafiza Abdul Razak

The research identified and explored the cognitive knowledge among the instructional multimedia design and development experts comprising of multimedia designer, graphic designer, subject-matter expert and instructional designer. A critical need exists for a solid understanding of the factors that influence team decision making and performance in order to identify interventions that can affect ...

2008
Daniel Norris Roger Yin Petra van der Stappen

This paper proposes an action learning centered interpretation of technology adoption variables as they relate to small and medium enterprises (SMEs). Action learning has a long history of successful leadership and executive development as part of a change management effort. Change in organizations today often involves technology innovation adoption. For the SME, technological change is uniquel...

2007
Connie White Murray Turoff Bartel Van de Walle

In an extreme event or major disaster, very often there are both alternative actions that might be considered and far more requests for actions than can be executed immediately. The relative desirability of each option for action could be a collaborative expression of a significant number of emergency managers and experts trying to manage the most desirable alternatives at any given time, in re...

2011
Kuei-Yang Wu

t: -The railway tourism has become a trend due to cultural heritage preservation. There have been voices calling for re-opening of the Old Mountain Line Railway. The service quality controlled by the management will have a great influence on tourists’ intention to use the railway again. Therefore, the service quality after the railway re-opening is the key issue to be considered when it comes t...

Journal: :JITE 2007
Gregory J. Skulmoski Francis T. Hartman Jennifer Krahn

Executive Summary The Delphi method is an attractive method for graduate students completing masters and PhD level research. It is a flexible research technique that has been successfully used in our program at the University of Calgary to explore new concepts within and outside of the information systems body of knowledge. The Delphi method is an iterative process to collect and distill the an...

پایان نامه :وزارت علوم، تحقیقات و فناوری - دانشگاه پیام نور - دانشگاه پیام نور استان تهران - دانشکده علوم پایه 1394

چکیده در این پایان نامه ضمن معرفی توزیع وایبل، برآوردگر درستنمایی ماکزیمم و بیز پارامتر مقیاس توزیع وایبل با داده های سانسور شده را با استفاده از توزیع پیشین جفری و توزیع پیشین جفری تعمیم یافته تحت توابع میانگین مربع خطا و میانگین درصد خطا محاسبه و با یکدیگر مقایسه شده اند. در پایان ضمن مقایسه کارایی برآوردگرها نتیجه می شود که پارامتر برآورد شده توزیع وایبل بدست آمده از روش بیز با توزیع پیشین ...

2015
Li Rui-mei

The complexity and turbulence of a project may lead to its unpredictability, so risk management is increasingly important. This paper focuses on the application of Monte Carlo method in project management as follow: first, deals with the estimated scale with Wide band Delphi method and gets the interval of prediction after making repeated samples in line with the generally adopted probability m...

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