Inferential challenges that arise when data are censored have been extensively studied under the classical frameworks. In this paper, we provide an alternative generalized inferential model approach whose output is a data-dependent plausibility function. This construction driven by association between distribution of relative likelihood function at interest parameter and unobserved auxiliary va...

Inferential confusion has been defined as a confusion between reality and possibility, where the person with Obsessive–Compulsive Disorder (OCD) persists in his/her obsessional belief despite sense information to the contrary. The current study investigates whether inferential confusion is associated with treatment outcome in an OCD sample receiving cognitive–behavioral therapy (CBT). Results i...

Many conditionals seem to convey the existence of a link between their antecedent and consequent. We draw on a recently proposed typology of conditionals to argue for an old philosophical idea according towhich the link is inferential in nature. We show that the proposal has explanatory force by presenting empirical results on the evidential meaning of certain English and Dutch modal expressions.

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES The inferential confusion hypothesis postulates that obsessive doubt is perpetuated by a subjective form of reasoning characterized primarily by a distrust of reality and an overreliance on imagined possibilities. However, experimental evidence for this hypothesis may be compromised by a potential confound between type of information (reality vs. possibility) and its v...