Increasing levels of anthropogenic aerosols in Asia have raised considerable concern regarding its potential impact on the global atmosphere, but the magnitude of the associated climate forcing remains to be quantified. Here, using a novel hierarchical modelling approach and observational analysis, we demonstrate modulated mid-latitude cyclones by Asian pollution over the past three decades. Re...

Realistic stochastic simulation of hydro-environmental fluxes in space and time, such as rainfall, is challenging yet paramount importance to inform environmental risk analysis decision making under uncertainty. Here, we advance random fields by introducing the concepts general velocity anisotropy transformations. This expands capabilities so-called Complete Stochastic Modeling Solution (CoSMoS...

The long-term goals are to understand how variabilities in the large-scale atmospheric environment influence tropical cyclone track, structure, and intensity characteristics and define how these influences differ between developing, mature, and decaying tropical cyclones. During the initial stages of tropical cyclone development, structure and track characteristics can exhibit large variabiliti...

Hydro generation scheduling is a nonlinear programming problem. This paper describes the hydro generation scheduling problem constraints. The optimal hydro scheduling problem is formulated as a large scale linear programming algorithm and is solved using a commercially available linear programming package. The selected objective function requires minimization of demand and generation of a hydro...

Knowledge about natural hazard management has increased significantly since Gilbert White’s seminal research in 1945, yet people are still badly affected by natural hazards. A key question remains in natural hazards research: why, when all the conditions for effective disaster risk reduction are in place, do some people not take action to reduce their risk of harm? Through a questionnaire-based...

The present study considers a variety of cyclone developments that occur in an idealized, baroclinic channel model featuring full condensation heating effects over an ocean with prescribed sea surface temperature variation. The geostrophic basic-state jet is specified by the tropopause shape, and horizontal shear is included by specifying the meridional variation of zonal wind on the lower boun...

The Weather Research and Forecast model at 1/38 resolution is used to simulate the statistics of tropical cyclone (TC) activity in the present climate of the South Pacific. In addition to the large-scale conditions, the model is shown to reproduce a wide range of mesoscale convective systems. Tropical cyclones grow from the most intense of these systems formed along the South Pacific convergenc...

Observations of pre-1950 tropical cyclones are sparse due to observational limitations; therefore, the hurricane database HURDAT2 (1851-present) maintained by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration may be incomplete. Here we provide additional documentation for HURDAT2 from historical United States Army fort records (1820-1915) and other archived documents for 28 landfalling tropic...

This study presents the first quantitative estimate of the mineral dust emission associated with atmospheric depressions and migrating, long-lived cyclones in North Africa. Atmospheric depressions are automatically tracked at 925 hPa based on ERA-Interim data from the European Centre 5 for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts for 1989−2008. A set of filter criteria is applied to identify migrating, l...