نتایج جستجو برای: exchange rates and volatility
تعداد نتایج: 16879135 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
S tock returns of companies listed on the stock exchange is one of the most important criteria in assessing the macroeconomic. This study investigates the effect of exchange rate Volatility on the stock exchange Returns of D8 countries. It takes monthly data during the period (2008:1-2015:6) constituting 90 observations. At first we used Panel-GARCH model to estimate Exchange Rate Vo...
Foreign exchange market is one of the most complex dynamic market with high volatility, non linear and irregularity. As the globalization spread to the world, exchange rates forecasting become more important and complicated. Many external factors influence its volatility. To forecast the exchange rates, those external variables can be used and usually chosen based on the correlation to the pred...
We study the forecasting of future realized volatility in the foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets from variables in the information set, including implied volatility backed out from option prices. Realized volatility is separated into its continuous and jump components, and the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model is applied with implied volatility as an additional forecasting variabl...
Macroeconomic effects of nominal exchange rate regimes: new insights into the role of price dynamics
This paper analyzes the effects of pegged and floating exchange rates using a two-country dynamic general equilibrium model that is calibrated to the US and a European aggregate. The model assumes shocks to money, productivity and the interest rate parity condition. It captures the fact that the sharp increase in nominal exchange rate volatility after the end of the Bretton Woods (BW) system wa...
This paper develops a view of exchange rate policy as a trade-off between the desire to smooth fluctuations in real exchange rates so as to reduce distortions in consumption allocations, and the need to allow flexibility in the nominal exchange rate so as to facilitate terms of trade adjustment. We show that optimal nominal exchange rate volatility will reflect these competing objectives. The k...
This paper examines the effect of interest rates on exchange rate volatilities in Ghana. It utilizes Quarterly Time Series dataset spanning 2000 Quarter 1 to 2017 2 and Autoregressive Distributed Lag model as well Vector Error Correction Model investigate long-run short-run relationships between variables. The results showed that model, volatility was seen be influenced by money supply, inflati...
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return and volatility spillovers are important for portfolio selection, asset valuation and market efficiency investigation. using a var-bekk framework model, this paper investigates return and volatility spillover effects between three size-sorted equity indices in tehran stock exchange (tse). although daily return of large stocks leads small stocks (lead-lag effect), there wasn’t any spillove...
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