in this paper, we will review the foreign exchange market and will try to extract an exchange market pressure and an intervention index for iran by following the weymark (1995) approach to evaluate the central bank of iran’s exchange rate policy during 1368:q1 to 1391:q3. the estimation method employed, is the econometric technique known in the literature as the two-stage least squares (2sls).t...

â â â  given companies’ dynamic responses to expected exchange rate changes, this article improves on current methods of measuring exposure to foreign exchange rate changes by breaking down the spot exchange rate changes into expected changes and unexpected changes. the currency risk exposure coefficients resulting from an empirical analysis of shanghai stock exchange a share listed companies...

The inability to reconcile observed levels of foreign exchange rate volatility with predictions derived from rational expectations models represents one of the most persistent challenges in international finance. This paper shows that such excess volatility puzzles arise from informational assumptions by contrasting exchange rate equilibria under different expectational paradigms: rational expe...

the successful key of trading in the forex market is the selection of correct exchange in proper time based on an exact prediction of future exchange rate. foreign exchange rates are affected by many correlated economic, political and even psychological factors. therefore, in order to achieve a profitable trade these factors should be considered. the application of intelligent techniques for fo...

Rent-seeking in the trade sector is an outcome of restrictions imposed on tariffs and import quotas by a government. In an effort to acquire more privilege in foreign trade, labor allocates a part of its time-effort to rent-seeking activity, while cutting down on production work. Given the importance of rent-seeking activity due to restrictions imposed by the government in the Iranian economy, ...

............................................................................... 1

within the early theories of fdi and multinational firms, fdi and foreign trade were considered to be substitutes. new international trade theories emphasize, however the complementary relationship between fdi and foreign trade.this is the result of introducing new aspects in the models like increasing returns to scale, product differentiation and technology-differences among nations.this paper...

This paper analyzes the effects of exchange rate volatility on bilateral trade flows. Through use of a gravity model and panel data from western Europe, exchange rate uncertainty is found to have a negative effect on international trade. The results seem to be robust with respect to the particular measures representing exchange rate uncertainty. Particular attention is reserved for problems of ...

Attempts are made to provide a theoretical justification for using the gravity model in the analysis of bilateral trade and apply the generalized gravity model to analyse the Bangladesh’s trade with its major trading partners using the panel data estimation technique. We have estimated the gravity model of trade (sum of exports and imports), the gravity model of export and the gravity model of ...

With the real exchange rate elasticity of processing net exports being positively related to the processing trade intensity, the modified Marshall-Lerner condition states that a real exchange rate appreciation tends to increase rather than reduce net exports, as long as the composite export elasticity with respect to import via the real exchange rate is sufficiently large. The estimated cointeg...