نتایج جستجو برای: cointegration analysis
تعداد نتایج: 2826092 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Testing for the equality of integration orders is an important topic in time series analysis because it constitutes an essential step in testing for (fractional) cointegration in the bivariate case. For the multivariate case, there are several versions of cointegration, and the version given in Robinson and Yajima (2002) has received much attention. In this definition, a time series vector is p...
Abstract While “classical” demography imputes population ageing to low fertility, a recent “revisionist” line of thinking signals the emergence “from top” (i.e., due mortality), starting slightly after World War II. We join this debate proving that, in long run, mortality affects age structure, and therefore also ageing, more than customarily believed. With data taken from Human Mortality Datab...
T he financial crisis that was started in the last months of 2008, spread out to all world countries in short-term and had broken out as public debt in the European Union and Euro area. Most affected countries from this financial crisis had been Portugal, Ireland, Italy, Greece, and Spain were named as PIIGS countries of Europe. The effect of public debt on economic growth had been a...
This paper explores the causal relationship between economic growth, trade openness and energy consumption using data of 15 Asian countries. The study covers the period of 1980–2011. We have applied panel cointegration and causality approaches to examine the long-run and causal relationship between variables. Empirical results confirm the presence of cointegration between variables. The impact ...
This study investigates the causal nexus between public expenditure and economic growth in India using cointegration approach and error correction model. The analysis was carried out over the period 1973 to 2012. The Cointegration test result confirms the existence of long-run equilibrium relationship between public expenditure and economic growth in India. The empirical results based on the er...
This paper attempts to take a meticulous look on stability of money demand in India Using annual data for period 1953-2007 and the Hansen (1992) and Gregory Hansen (1996) co-integration approaches with structural break. Results of the Gregory Hansen (1996) cointegration analysis show the presence of cointegration in demand for money, real GDP and nominal interest rate with structural break at 1...
A contemporaneous linear combination of two or more time series is less persistent than the individual series. Engle and Granger (1987) allowed for both standard and fractional cointegration. Under standard cointegration, the memory parameter is reduced from 1 to 0, while under fractional cointegration the level of reduction need not be an integer thus is more general. Empirical examples includ...
We propose new tests for panel cointegration by extending the panel unit root tests of Choi [2001] and Maddala and Wu [1999] to the panel cointegration case. The tests are flexible, intuitively appealing and relatively easy to compute. We investigate the finite sample behavior in a simulation study. Several variants of the tests compare favorably in terms of both size and power with other widel...
This study employs auto-regressive distributed lag (ARDL) bounds approach to cointegration for long run and errorcorrection modeling (ECM) for short run analysis to examine the relationship between revenue gap and economic growth for Pakistan using annual time series data over the period 1980 to 2008. The short and long run results indicate that revenue gap is statistical significant and negati...
Multivariate tests due to Johansen (1988, 1991) as implemented by Baillie and Bollerslev (1989a) and Diebold, Gardeazabal, and Yilmaz (1994) reveal mixed evidence on whether a group of exchange rates are cointegrated. Further analysis of the deviations from the cointegrating relationship suggests that it possesses long memory and may possibly be well described as a fractionally integrated proce...
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