This article focuses on the electricity industry and electricity consumption of population and industrial enterprises in Russia is analyzed. Economic factors that affect energy consumption are studied by the Vector Autoregression Analysis (VAR). The relationship between variables is defined by Granger test, and it also considers scenarios of reactions of electricity consumption on exogenous sho...

We calculate the NAIRU for the U.S. in a framework where inflation and the unemployment rate can respond to each other. The NAIRU is defined as the component of the actual unemployment rate that is uncorrelated with inflation in the long run. Using a structural VAR approach, the NAIRU and core inflation can be estimated simultaneously. Our estimation results show that the NAIRU falls dramatical...

We derive a strong approximation of a local polynomial estimator (LPE) in nonparametric autoregression by an LPE in a corresponding nonparame-tric regression model. This generally suggests the application of regression-typical tools for statistical inference in nonparametric autoregressive models. It provides an important simpliication for the bootstrap method to be used: It is enough to mimic ...