نتایج جستجو برای: assessing uncertainty of climate change models

تعداد نتایج: 21306544  

Journal: :آب و خاک 0

abstract radiation, water and co2 are three major resources requirement for crops growth and development and within a wide range, increasing each of them would increase the biosphere productivity. higher usage of fossil fuels is increasing the atmospheric co2 and according to known crop physiological functions, such conditions should increase the crops production. however there is a possibility...

Journal: :Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 2009

ژورنال: آبخیزداری ایران 2019

Results of assessment of the future climate change impacts is associated with some uncertainties. Considering the range of uncertainties increases reliability of the results. In this study, climate change impacts on daily precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature of Sira basin are assessed using LARS-WG model, for 2036-65 period. Accordingly, uncertainty of new emissions scenarios (RCP2.6،...

Journal: :international journal of environmental research 2014
m. mendizabal j. sepúlveda p. torp

the scientific community agrees that climate change is one of the greatest challenges that oursociety will have to face this century. indeed, the fourth report from the intergovernmental panel on climatechange (ippc) confirms the certitude of this phenomenon and its impacts, which can range from droughts tofloods, health problems and food shortages. the principal objective of this paper is to a...

2011
E. Hawkins R. Sutton

The time at which the signal of climate change emerges from the noise of natural climate variability (Time of Emergence, ToE) is a key variable for climate predictions and risk assessments. Here we present a methodology for estimating ToE for individual climate models, and use it to make maps of ToE for surface air temperature (SAT) based on the CMIP3 global climate models. Consistent with prev...

2007
Claudia Tebaldi Bruno Sansó

Posterior distributions for the joint projections of future temperature and precipitation trends and changes are derived by applying a Bayesian hierachical model to a rich dataset of simulated climate from Global Circulations Models. The simulations here analyzed constitute the most reliable future projections on which the Intergovernmental Panel of Climate Change based its recent summary repor...

2008
Claudia Tebaldi

Posterior distributions for the joint projections of future temperature and precipitation trends and changes are derived by applying a Bayesian hierachical model to a rich data set of simulated climate from general circulation models. The simulations that are analysed here constitute the future projections on which the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change based its recent summary report on...

Journal: Desert 2015

Climate change has direct and indirect consequences on crop production and food security. Agriculture and cropproduction is one of the factors which depend on the weather conditions and it provides the human requirements inmany aspects. The objective of this study is to assess the impacts of future climatic change on irrigated rice yieldusing the CERES-Rice model in the Southern Coast of Caspia...

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