Sea ice is an important component of the global climate system and a key indicator of climate change. A decreasing trend in Arctic sea-ice concentration is evident in recent years, whereas Antarctic sea-ice concentration exhibits a generally increasing trend. Various studies have investigated the underlying causes of the observed trends for each region, but possible linkages between the regiona...

[1] Reanalysis data are used to study the effects of the Quasi-Biennial Oscillation (QBO) and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the stratosphere. During the boreal winter in the Arctic, Warm ENSO (WENSO) months are found to be significantly warmer and Cold ENSO (CENSO) months significantly colder than climatology. The QBO is also found to have a large effect on the Arctic stratosphere ...

13 The Madden Julian Oscillation (MJO) was shown to a ect both present-day Sudden Strato14 spheric Warming (SSW) events in the Arctic, and their future frequency under global 15 warming scenarios, with implications to the Arctic Oscillation and mid-latitude extreme 16 weather. This work uses a dry dynamic core model to understand the dependence of SSW 17 frequency on the amplitude and longitudi...

We investigate the connection between the equatorial Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and different types of the Northern Hemisphere mid-winter major stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs), i.e., vortex-displacement and vortex-split SSWs. The MJO-SSW relationship for vortex-split SSWs is stronger than that for vortex-displacement SSWs, as a result of the stronger and more coherent eastward propaga...

Delayed maturity, low fecundity, and high adult survival are traits typical for species with a long-life expectancy. For such species, even a small change in adult survival can strongly affect the population dynamics and viability. We examined the effects of both regional and local climatic variability on adult survival of the little auk, a long-lived and numerous Arctic seabird species. We con...

For forecasting the maximum 5-day accumulated precipitation over the winter season at lead times of 3, 6, 9 and 12 months over Canada from 1950 to 2007, two nonlinear and two linear regression models were used, where the models were support vector regression (SVR) (nonlinear and linear versions), nonlinear Bayesian neural network (BNN) and multiple linear regression (MLR). The 118 stations were...

Teleconnection patterns are an important feature influencing the variability of moisture transport. This study explores influence Arctic, Antarctic, Pacific-North American, and El Niño–Southern Oscillations on transport from major oceanic continental sources during peak precipitation month. The positive phase American teleconnection pattern increases Pacific Ocean western North America, while n...