this paper attempts to employ microeconomics methodology to answer the following questions: for which group of society the consumption pattern which is used as a basis to calculate consumer price index (cpi) and inflation rate, stands for is there any difference between inflation rate of poor and rich households in iran? calculations done in this paper show that the consumption pattern which be...

Since 1993, the conduct of monetary policy in Australia has been based on an inflation target. Under this framework, the aim of policy is for underlying inflation to average 2 to 3 per cent per annum in the medium term. Underlying inflation can be measured in a number of ways but each of these measures shows that the target has been achieved so far in the 1990s (see Table 1). The concept of und...

in this paper, i develop three forecasting models: namely structural, times series, and artificial neural networks; to forecast iranian inflation rates. the structural model uses aggregate demand and aggregate supply approach, the time series model is based on the standard arlma technique, and the artificial neural network applies multi-layer back propagation model the latter, which is rooted i...

Concentrating on the period of quantitative easing in Japan, this paper reexamines the correlation between the asymmetry of sectoral relative-price changes and the aggregate inflation rate. This correlation is widely interpreted as evidence that short-run inflation is determined by supply-side factors; however, we study whether, in addition to the inflation rate, monetary environment and aggreg...

In this paper, we investigate whether incorporating common factors of CPI sub-aggregates into forecasting models increases the accuracy of forecasts of inflation. We extract factors by both static and dynamic factor models and then embed them in ARMA and VAR models. Using quarterly data of Iran’s CPI and its sub-aggregates, the models are estimated over 1990:2 to 2008:2 and out of sample ...

Temple (2002) empirically challenges Romer’s (1993) negative opennessinflation relation on empirical grounds. This article links economic openness to the slopes of aggregate supply (AS) and aggregate demand (AD) to explain why the openness-inflation relation can be ambiguous. Starting with a widely used assumption initiated by Romer (1993) that more open economies face greater output inflation ...

I n the United States, there are two broad indexes of consumer prices: the consumer price index, or CPI, and the chain price index for personal consumption expenditures, or PCEPI. Because the indexes are similar in many respects, the inflation rates measured with them often move in parallel. There are, however, some important differences, which, at times, can lead to large gaps between CPI and ...