Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a recent statistical procedure to sample from complex distributions. Distant proposal draws are taken in a sequence of steps following the Hamiltonian dynamics of the underlying parameter space, often yielding superior mixing properties of the resulting Markov chain. However, its performance can deteriorate sharply with the degree of irregularity of the underlyi...

agricultural activities are risky activities. in these activities, various natural, social and economic risks have created fragile and vulnerable situation for producers. price risk in agricultural products has caused financial problems for many producers and farmers. to deal with these price risks and price fluctuations, there are varieties of tools. this paper focused on futures markets instr...

Abstract This paper investigates the linkage of returns and volatilities between United States Chinese stock markets from January 2010 to March 2020. We use dynamic conditional correlation (DCC) asymmetric Baba–Engle–Kraft–Kroner (BEKK) GARCH models calculate time-varying correlations these two examine return volatility spillover effects markets. The empirical results show that there are only u...

This paper modifies the BEKK-GARCH model based on empirical results of VAR to analyze dynamic volatility spillover effect between European Union allowance (EUA) and certified emissions reduction (CER) markets during second third phases Emission Trading System (EU ETS). The show that (1) an asymmetric exists EUA CER market has a more significant market, (2) becomes weaker in phase III since Comm...

This paper investigates co-movements among the Chinese stock market, Shanghai International Energy Exchange (INE) crude oil futures and West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures. We use Copula models to capture tail dependencies employ VAR-BEKK-GARCH model examine direction of volatility spillovers. find that there are positively time-varying dependency relationships three markets. Compared with co...

This paper examines mean and volatility spillovers between three major cryptocurrencies (Bitcoin, Litecoin Ethereum) the role played by cyber-attacks. Specifically, trivariate GARCH-BEKK models are estimated which include suitably defined dummies corresponding to different types, targets number per day of Significant dynamic linkages (interdependence) under investigation found in most cases whe...

Using the data from GCC countries, this paper analyses co-movement between oil price, EU carbon allowance prices, global clean energy index and equity three counties, namely, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia United Arab Emirates. Almost no previous research has investigated dynamic interrelations in conventional markets, like those of against dramatic growth production new emissions trading schemes. Employ...