نتایج جستجو برای: wind speed prediction
تعداد نتایج: 519502 فیلتر نتایج به سال:
Short-term wind speed forecasting is useful for power system to regulate power dispatching plan, decrease reserve power needed and increase the reliability of system. The method of the short-term wind speed prediction is proposed in this paper. The data of wind speed in Dafeng, Jiangsu Province of China is predicted by the model combined with the grey system theory (GST). A grey system model co...
In this paper, the spatio-temporal (multi-channel) linear models, which use temporal and the neighbouring wind speed measurements around the target location, for the best short-term wind speed forecasting are investigated. Multi-channel autoregressive moving average (MARMA) models are formulated in matrix form and efficient linear prediction coefficient estimation techniques are first used and ...
The use of wind energy for power electric systems attempts to reduce the dependence on fuel-based energy. With the aim of generating electrical power based on wind energy, it becomes necessary to model and predict wind speed. Wind speed observations are packed with outliers what makes it difficult to propose accurate predictors. This paper presents an experimental comparison of three different ...
The bootstrap resampling method is applied to an ensemble artificial neural network (ANN) approach (which combines machine learning with physical data obtained from a numerical weather prediction model) to provide a multi-ANN model super-ensemble for application to multi-stepahead forecasting of wind speed and of the associated power generated from a wind turbine. A statistical combination of t...
Variable speed wind turbines (VSWTs) usually adopt a maximum power point tracking (MPPT) method to optimize energy capture performance. Nevertheless, obtained performance offered by different MPPT methods may be affected by the impact of wind turbine (WT)’s inertia and wind speed characteristics and it needs to be clarified. In this paper, the tip speed ratio (TSR) and optimal torque (OT) metho...
The use of condition monitoring (CM) in wind energy machines continues to evolve as wind energy machines grow in size and move offshore. Early and smaller wind generation machines offered little financial incentives for condition monitoring, justifying only simple and inexpensive health monitoring technologies. Today, multi-megawatt wind machines are more complex, more difficult to physically r...
A new bulk parameterization of the air–sea momentum flux at high wind speeds is proposed based on coupled wave–wind model simulations for 10 tropical cyclones that occurred in the Atlantic Ocean during 1998–2003. The new parameterization describes how the roughness length increases linearly with wind speed and the neutral drag coefficient tends to level off at high wind speeds. The proposed par...
Abstract. From small farms to electricity markets the interest and importance of wind power production is continuously increasing. This interest is mainly caused by the fact that wind is a continuous resource of clean energy. To take full advantage of the potential of wind power production it is crucial to have tools that accurately forecast the expected wind speed. However, forecasting the win...
In the recent years there is a lot of research happening to predict wind speed with several mathematical methods and biologically inspired computing techniques to reduce the prediction error. A new strategy in wind speed prediction is proposed in this paper and the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is applied to forecast the speed of wind. ANFIS can forecast very well of the next va...
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