We examine the optimal trading strategy for a CRRA investor who maximizes the expected utility of wealth on a finite date and faces transaction costs. Closed-form solutions are obtained when this date is uncertain. We then show a sequence of analytical solutions converge to the solution to the problem with a deterministic finite horizon. Consistent with the common life-cycle investment advice, ...

The use of technical indicators to derive stock trading signals is a foundation of financial technical analysis. Many of these indicators have several parameters which creates a difficult optimization problem given the highly non-linear and non-stationary nature of a financial timeseries. This study investigates a popular financial indicator, Bollinger Bands, and the fine tuning of its paramete...

We examine the impact of stock exchange trading rules and surveillance on the frequency and severity of suspected insider trading cases in 22 stock exchanges around the world over the period January 2003 through June 2011. Using new indices for market manipulation, insider trading, and broker-agency conflict based on the specific provisions of the trading rules of each stock exchange, along wit...

in this research the asymmetric and non-linear correlation between the market returns and trading volume variables has modeled with the dcc-garch approach; and the impacts of market shocks, weekend and calendar effects on the market returns and trading volume are surveyed. the estimation results of parameters of the model by the maximum likelihood method show that previous day’s market return h...

It is well understood that when corporate insiders trade shares in their firms stock for the sole purpose of maximizing trading profits, they benefit from asymmetric information, and consequently, favor minimal corporate financial disclosure requirements. We demonstrate that when insiders are risk-averse and have other motives for trade, such as liquidity needs, they can actually be harmed by a...

Trading-rule representation is an important factor to consider when designing a quantitative trading system. This study implements a trading strategy as a rule-based policy. The result is an intuitive human-readable format which allows for seamless integration of domain knowledge. The components of a policy are specified and represented as a set of rewrite rules in a context-free grammar. These...

The statistical properties of the total yield are analyzed for an assembly of gamblers in an erratic period on the Budapest stock exchange. Random trading results in a log-normal limit distribution of a surprisingly large width, while the simplest profit realizing strategy narrows down the peak around a positive average value. The effect of transaction costs, the statistics of extremes, and pat...

this paper investigates the informational content of abnormal volume trading of shares listed at tehran stock exchange (tse) using an event study methodology. the results for a sample of 48 iranian firms during 1385-1388 show that there are abnormal returns before and after the abnormal trading volume dates. regression analysis also shows that there is a significant relationship between trading...

This paper examines price formation subsequent to management forecasts of quarterly earnings. Consistent with prior studies, we find that the short-term market reaction to bad news forecasts is much larger than that to good news forecasts. Examining returns in the post-guidance period, we find a significant upward drift for both good and bad news forecasts. The asymmetry in the initial market r...

The present study explores the effect of the gambler’s fallacy on stock trading volumes. I hypothesize that if a stock’s price rises (falls) during a number of consecutive trading days, then the gambler’s fallacy may cause at least some of the investors to expect that the stock’s price “has” to subsequently fall (rise), and thus, to increase their willingness to sell (buy) the stock, resulting ...