Human memory does not record and store information like technical devices. Rather, memory can deviate in various ways from the original experience of an event. It is fragile and potentially unreliable. Some deviations from the original experience can be attributed to forgetting or trace decay, while other deviations reflect systematic biases and distortions (e.g., McDermott & Chan, 2003; Schact...

Regression models and their statistical analyses is the most important tool used by scientists in data analyses especially for modeling the relationship among random variables and making predictions with higher accuracy. A fundamental problem in the theory of errors, which has drawn attention of leading mathematicians and scientists since past few centuries, was that of fitting functions. For t...

This paper is based on Wald Lectures given at the annual meeting of the IMS in Minneapolis during August 2005. It is a survey of the theory of large deviations. 1. Large deviations for sums. The role of " large deviations " is best understood through an example. Suppose that X random variables, for instance, normally distributed with mean zero and variance 1. Then, E e θ(X 1 +···+X n) = E[e θX ...

1 Mining public transportation networks is a growing and explosive challenge due to the increasing number of information available. In highly populated urban zones, the vehicles can often fail the schedule. Such fails cause headway deviations (HD) between high-frequency bus pairs. In this paper, we propose to identify systematic HD which usually provokes the phenomenon known as Bus Bunching (BB...

Previous literature studying analysts’ earnings forecasts examines their properties without considering firms’ response to analysts’ forecasts. This study improves upon previous research by considering firms’ earnings management with respect to analysts’ forecasts. I hypothesize that analysts understand firms’ earnings management practices, and incorporate firms’ expected behavior into their fo...

In the article “People Underestimate the Value of Persistence for Creative Performance” by Brian J. Lucas and Loran F. Nordgren (Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, 2015, Vol. 109, No. 2, pp. 232–243. http://dx.doi.org/10.1037/pspa0000030), there are misaligned headers and incorrect means and standard deviations for the first six columns in Table 2 due to a production error.

In the past two decades, social capital in its various forms and contexts has emerged as one of the most salient concepts in social sciences. While much excitement has been generated, divergent views, perspectives, and expectations have also raised the serious question : is it a fad or does it have enduring qualities that will herald a new intellectual enterprise? This presentation's purpose is...

The Logic of Approximate Entailment (LAE) is a graded counterpart of classical propositional calculus, where conclusions that are only approximately correct can be drawn. This is achieved by equipping the underlying set of possible worlds with a similarity relation. When using this logic in applications, however, a disadvantage must be accepted; namely, in LAE it is not possible to combine conc...

In this paper we present a new type of binary classifier defined on the unit cube. This classifier combines some of the aspects of the standard methods that have been used in the logical analysis of data (LAD) and geometric classifiers, with a nearest-neighbor paradigm. We assess the predictive performance of the new classifier in learning from a sample, obtaining generalization error bounds th...