This work focuses on the seismic response of a volcano to different magmatic processes with the aim of sheding light on their driving physics as tracked by seismicity. We study seismic time series recorded at basaltic volcanoes and identify generic seismicity patterns characteristic of (i) inter-eruptive, (ii) reservoir feeding, (iii) reservoir leak, and (iv) dyke injection phases of volcanic a...

A new two-step approach is proposed to quantify the uncertainties of the seismicity rate ν(M) estimated by Gutenberg-Richter relations of seismic area source zones in logic tree-driven probabilistic seismic hazard analysis. The first step makes use of the possibility that the uncertainties of the Gutenberg-Richter parameters α and β (or a and b), expressed by their covariance matrix C(α, β) (or...

Numerical models including one or more faults in a rheologically stratified lithosphere show that climate-induced variations in ice and water volumes on Earth's surface considerably affect the slip evolution of both thrust and normal faults. In general, the slip rate and hence the seismicity of a fault decreases during loading and increases during unloading. Here, we present several case studie...

[1] The relationship between small-magnitude seismicity and large-scale crustal faulting along the Hayward Fault, California, is investigated using a double-difference (DD) earthquake location algorithm. We used the DD method to determine high-resolution hypocenter locations of the seismicity that occurred between 1967 and 1998. The DD technique incorporates catalog travel time data and relativ...

Using a catalog of seismicity for Southern California, we measure how the number of triggered earthquakes increases with the earthquake magnitude. The trade-off between this relation and the distribution of earthquake magnitudes controls the relative role of small compared to large earthquakes. We show that seismicity triggering is driven by the smallest earthquakes, which trigger fewer events ...

The limits of a recently proposed universal scaling law for the probability distributions of earthquake recurrence times are explored. The scaling properties allow to improve the statistics of occurrence of large earthquakes over small areas by mixing rescaled recurrence times for different areas. In this way, the scaling law still holds for events with M≥5.5 at scales of about 20 km, and for M...

Goebel et al. question our forecasted response of induced seismicity to reduction of saltwater injection rates in north-central Oklahoma and raise the concern that "the probability of future damaging earthquakes may be underestimated." We compare our prediction to earthquake data recorded in the 8 months after publication. Observed seismicity rates and magnitudes agree with the forecast of our ...

[1] We establish a connection between geometry of the faults’ network in a region and seismicity preceding the strong earthquakes in the intermediate-term timescale of years. Previous studies of observed and computer-simulated seismicity demonstrated that strong earthquakes are preceded in that timescale by the rise of seismic activity in a lower magnitude range. Here, we explore a complementar...

The spatial distribution of seismicity is often used as one of the indicators of zones where future large earthquakes are likely to occur. This is particularly true for intraplate regions such as the central and eastern United States, where geology is markedly enigmatic for delineating seismically active areas. Although using past seismicity for this purpose may be intuitively appealing, it is ...

In this paper, efforts are made to compare the safety of steel moment resistant frames designed according to different editions of the Iranian code of Practice for seismic resistant design of buildings. Also, failure risk of a low and medium height frame which designed for high and low seismicity regions according to three editions of the code are evaluated. First, the testing cases were design...