Seismic hazard assessment like many other issues in seismology is a complicated problem, which is due to a variety of parameters affecting the occurrence of an earthquake. Uncertainty, which is a result of vagueness and incompleteness of the data, should be considered in a rational way. Using fuzzy method makes it possible to allow for uncertainties to be considered. Fuzzy inference system,...

Iran is a country with high seismicity while Tehran, the capital city is home to more than 10 million people which are located on the highest seismic zone of the country. There exist 153 gas stations throughout the metropolitan which are constructed to old building codes with little or no attention to the seismic considerations. In this study which was supported by the National Oil Company, fir...

The occurrence of the September 28, 2004 Mw=6.0 mainshock at Parkfield, California, has significantly increased the mean and aperiodicity of the series of time intervals between mainshocks in this segment of the San Andreas fault. We use five different statistical distributions as renewal models to fit this new series and to estimate the time-dependent probability of the next Parkfield mainshoc...

The paper describes an integrated approach to seismic hazard assessment, which was applied for the Taiwan region. First, the theoretical seismic catalogue (2001-2050) for the Taiwan region had been calculated using the 4D-model (location, depth, time) for dynamic deformation of the Earth’ crust and 5D-model (location, depth, time, magnitude) for seismic process. The models were developed on the...

It is essential to use statistical models and theoretical analysis of the data for preparing comprehensive geological and seismic hazard mapping. A cellular automaton consists of an array of cells, each one of which has a finite number of possible states, together with a rule for updating all cells simultaneously based only on the states of neighboring cells. In the present paper, Ising cellula...

Abstract Although Brazilian seismic activity is defined as low to moderate, it known that intraplate earthquakes can also be associated high intensities. In Brazil, the state of Rio Grande do Norte (RN) one most seismically active areas, but there no specific study evaluate hazard in this region. This paper presents analyses towards improving map, peak ground acceleration value and response spe...

Batubesi Dam which is located in Sorowako region in the middle part of Sulawesi island had been designed with seismic coefficient about 0.20g. The region constitutes an active earthquake zone with the recurrence frequency and magnitude of the earthquake are relatively high. The region is located on and active fault zone due to lateral fault movement (strike-slip) of Matano fault, Palukoro fault...

The recent Mw 6.3 destructive L’Aquila earthquake has further stimulated the improvement of the Italian operational earthquake forecasting capability at different time intervals. Here, we describe a medium-term (10-year) forecast model for Mw ≥5:5 earthquakes in Italy that aims at opening new possibilities for risk mitigation purposes. While a longer forecast yielded by the national seismic-haz...