In this paper we investigate the effect of oil price shocks on stock market index in Iran, by using of a structural VAR (SVAR) approach. We used four variables in the model namely Kilian index, global oil supply, real oil price and real stock market index. The data are monthly and spanning the period 1997M10-2014M12. We identify the effect of four different shocks on stock market including oil ...

This paper considers the problem of model uncertainty in the case of multi-asset volatility models and discusses the use of model averaging techniques as a way of dealing with the risk of inadvertently using false models in portfolio management. Evaluation of volatility models is then considered and a simple Value-at-Risk (VaR) diagnostic test is proposed for individual as well as ‘average’ mod...

In this analysis the interdependence between foreign exchange markets and stock markets for selected accession and cohesion countries is discussed. This includes basic theoretical approaches. Monthly data for the nominal stock market indices and nominal exchange rates are used, where Ireland, Portugal, Spain, Greece, Poland, Czech Republic, Slovenia, and Hungary are included in the analysis. Fr...

abstract portfolio definition is the most important decision for individuals and legal persons that invest in stock. the main objective of this paper is study and determination of optimal portfolio for stock of active food industrial company in tehran stock based on value at risk (var) index. for this purpose, we used weekly static of stock of active food industrial company in tehran from bahma...

It is well known that many countries around the world depend on the US as their major trade partner. As a result, if something does happen to US economy it surely will affect the economy of all these countries. In this study, we investigate the relationship between the US and four Asian emerging stock markets namely Hong Kong, India, South Korea and Malaysia using monthly data between 1996 and ...

the research problem investigated in this paper is modeling volatility and analyzing risk and return’s relationship in tehran stock exchange using garch-family models including garch(1,1), garch(2,2), egarch(1,1), pgarch(1,1), tgarch(1,1), garch(1,1)-m and cgarch(1,1). using the daily returns of tehran stock exchange companies, we focused on two portfolios of all the companies during a 10-year-...