The present study was aimed to investigate the effects of oil price shocks on discretionary fiscal policies in selected OPEC countries during 1980-2015. In this regard, the heterogeneous dynamic reaction to structural shock was examined using Panel Structural Vector Autoregressive (PSVAR) technique. Based on the findings, the effect of oil price shocks on discretionary fiscal policy was positiv...

We investigate evidence on the effects of OPEC announcements on world oil prices by examining announcements from both official conferences and ministerial meetings on major international crudes, including the key benchmarks and several other heavy and light grades. With data from 1982 to 2008, we use event study methodology and find differentiation in the magnitude and significance of market re...

Crude oil is a highly strategic commodity. This paper investigates the necessity of using interval data and interval econometric models for crude oil price forecasting. Compared to the traditional point-valued data, interval-valued data in a time period contain much more valuable information which is useful for market participant to make decisions. We develop three autoregressive conditional in...

An increasing number of oil market experts argue that OPEC members substantially overstate their oil reserves. While the economic implications could be dire, the incentives for overreporting remain unclear. This paper analyzes these incentives, showing that oil exporters may overreport to raise expected future supply, thereby discouraging oil-substituting R&D and improving their own future mark...

The goal of the article is to analyze role Saudi Arabia in world oil market and economy for a long historical period. It shown that strategically behavior always was continues be subordinated ensuring stable supply into market. Under leadership OPEC aims at pursuing an economically rational responsible policy, supporting balance demand its thus allow¬ing avoid deep lasting price decline. Until ...

This study estimates three hypotheses of OPEC behavior: market-sharing, target revenue and competitive model for the period 1980 to 2000 for all OPEC courtiers except Iraq. To examine co-integration relation for oil production, we use ADF test in OLS estimation. Also we use ARDL approach to examine these hypotheses and the long run relationship of them. Results indicate none of three hypotheses...