We examined the potential added risk posed by global climate change on the dengue vector Aedes aegypti abundance using CLIMEX, a powerful tool for exploring the relationship between the fundamental and realised niche of any species. After calibrating the model using data from several knowledge domains, including geographical distribution records, we estimated potential distributions of the mosq...

Abstract. The mechanisms leading to the occurrence of extreme weather and climate events are varied complex. They generally encompass a combination dynamic thermodynamic processes, as well drivers external system, such anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions land use change. Here we present ExtremeX multi-model intercomparison experiment, which was designed investigate contribution processes rec...

Here, we compare the ocean overturning circulation of early Eocene (47–56 Ma) in eight coupled climate model simulations from Deep-Time Model Intercomparison Project (DeepMIP) and investigate causes observed inter-model spread. The most common global meridional (MOC) feature these is anticlockwise bottom cell, fed by sinking Southern Ocean. In North Pacific, one (GFDL) displays strong deepwater...

Spruce taiga forests in Northeast Asia are of great economic and conservation importance. Continued climate warming may cause profound changes their distribution. We use prognostic retrospective species distribution models based on the Random Forest machine learning method to estimate potential range change dominant conifer Jezo spruce (Picea jezoensis (Siebold & Zucc.) Carrière) for year 2...

BACKGROUND Winter chill is one of the defining characteristics of a location's suitability for the production of many tree crops. We mapped and investigated observed historic and projected future changes in winter chill in California, quantified with two different chilling models (Chilling Hours, Dynamic Model). METHODOLOGY/PRINCIPAL FINDINGS Based on hourly and daily temperature records, win...

Recently, global warming problems with rapid population growth and socio-economic development have intensified the demand for water and increased tensions on water supplies. This research evolves the Multi-Objective Coronavirus Optimization Algorithm (MOCVOA) to obtain operational optimum rules of Voshmgir Dam reservoir under the climate change conditions. The climatic variables downscaled and ...

Soil moisture is the vital component of the hydrological cycle and its variability is largely uncertain in the upcoming decades. In this paper the future projections of soil moisture changes over South Asia have been analyzed on both annual and seasonal basis from 2020-2050. The comparison of 24 CMIP5 (Coupled Model Inter comparison Project Phase 5) models with GLDAS (Global Lad Data Assimilati...

Starry stonewort (Nitellopsis obtusa) is an alga that has emerged as an aquatic invasive species of concern in the United States. Where established, starry stonewort can interfere with recreational uses of water bodies and potentially have ecological impacts. Incipient invasion of starry stonewort in Minnesota provides an opportunity to predict future expansion in order to target early detectio...

Abstract Background Climate change due to anthropogenic global warming is the most important factor that will affect future range distribution of species and shape biogeographic patterns. While much effort has been expended in understanding how climate rare declining we have less an likely consequences for some abundant species. The Common Grackle ( Quiscalus quiscula ; Linnaeus 1758), though p...